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Premier League 26/27
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Morgan Rogers

Attacking midfielder 53% of 30 recent starts ChelseaPremier League 26/27

Also in: Championship

Next match
Chelsea vs Bournemouth›
Sat 10 OctReferee Samuel Barrott

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League attacking midfielder, 25/26, 908 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.71 per 90
60%
6 of 101.7×
1.57bet365Edge
Total shots2.53 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 101.5×
1.06PPEdge
Fouls won1.52 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.4×
1.25PPEdge
Fouls committed1.21 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.6×
1.25PPEdge
Tackles1.32 per 90
70%
7 of 101.2×
20%
2 of 101.4×
Cards0.20 per 90
20%
2 of 101.9×
5.00PPEdge
Goals0.51 per 90
50%
5 of 103.7×
form only
Assists0.20 per 90
20%
2 of 102.0×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Morgan Rogers has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable attacking midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Morgan Rogers in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 31 attacking midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Morgan RogersAston Villa 372.30 1.26
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNottingham Forest 372.40 0.75
Ismaïla SarrCrystal Palace 281.99 0.50
Florian WirtzLiverpool FC 331.92 0.83
Bruno FernandesManchester United 352.50 0.73
Mateus ManéWolverhampton 272.10 1.25
These 5, combined 2.22 0.79

Recent matches

The last 10 games Morgan Rogers featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Brentford18 Sep 90 1 4 0 1 0 0
Hull City12 Sep 90 2 2 0 3 2 0
@ Arsenal6 Sep 87 1 3 2 0 0 1
Brighton30 Aug 90 0 3 2 2 1 0
@ Fulham24 Aug 82 1 3 1 1 2 0
Liverpool15 May 90 1 1 1 0 2 0
@ Burnley10 May 90 0 2 1 2 2 0
Tottenham3 May 90 0 2 1 3 3 1
@ Fulham25 Apr 90 0 3 3 1 1 0
Sunderland19 Apr 90 1 2 1 2 0 0
Officials on record
Craig Pawson 8 games Morgan Rogers booked in 3 3.94cards/game 0.97×vs league
Michael Oliver 8 games Morgan Rogers booked in 1 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Stuart Attwell 7 games Morgan Rogers booked in 2 4.28cards/game 1.05×vs league
Samuel Barrott 7 games Morgan Rogers booked in 1 3.92cards/game 0.96×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Morgan Rogers have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Morgan Rogers has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Morgan Rogers average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Morgan Rogers is averaging 0.71 shots on target and 2.53 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Morgan Rogers get booked?

Morgan Rogers is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Morgan Rogers commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Morgan Rogers commits 1.21 fouls per 90 and wins 1.52 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Morgan Rogers?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Morgan Rogers plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.