Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Championship 23/24
MO

Morgan Rogers

Striker 37% of 27 recent starts MiddlesbroughChampionship 23/24

Also in: Premier League

Next match
Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton›
Sat 10 OctReferee Farai Hallam

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 46 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.73 per 90
50%
5 of 101.3×
Total shots1.82 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
Fouls won1.34 per 90
60%
6 of 101.4×
Fouls committed1.34 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
Tackles1.94 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 102.6×
10%
1 of 101.3×
Cards0.36 per 90
30%
3 of 103.4×
Goals0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
form only
Assists0.49 per 90
40%
4 of 108.0×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Championship games, Morgan Rogers has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable attacking midfielders

Morgan Rogers has no Championship record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Europa League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Championship attacking midfielders by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Morgan RogersAston VillaUEFA Europa League 152.24 1.90
Ryoya MorishitaBlackburn Rovers 81.19 0.79
Adrian SegečićPortsmouth 73.39 1.33
Todd CantwellBlackburn Rovers 81.97 1.27
Scott TwineBristol City 62.12 0.58
Iker BravoWatford 82.20 0.59
These 5, combined 2.15 0.93

Recent matches

The last 10 games Morgan Rogers featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Rotherham United20 Jan 90 0 2 2 2 3 0
@ Millwall13 Jan 90 1 2 2 0 2 0
Coventry City1 Jan 90 1 5 2 0 1 1
@ Huddersfield Town29 Dec 90 0 1 3 2 0 1
@ Rotherham United26 Dec 90 1 1 0 3 1 0
West Brom23 Dec 79 2 2 2 1 2 0
@ Swansea City16 Dec 19 0 0 0 1 2 0
Hull City13 Dec 13 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ipswich9 Dec 90 0 1 0 2 1 0
@ Leeds2 Dec 90 1 1 0 0 4 1
Officials on record
Josh Smith 4 games Morgan Rogers booked in 1 4.13cards/game 1.03×vs league
Andrew Kitchen 3 games Morgan Rogers never booked 3.21cards/game 0.80×vs league
James Bell 3 games Morgan Rogers never booked 3.93cards/game 0.98×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Morgan Rogers have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Morgan Rogers has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Morgan Rogers average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Morgan Rogers is averaging 0.73 shots on target and 1.82 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Morgan Rogers get booked?

Morgan Rogers is averaging 0.36 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Morgan Rogers commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Morgan Rogers commits 1.34 fouls per 90 and wins 1.34 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Morgan Rogers?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Morgan Rogers plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.