Carlton Morris
Striker 90% of 30 recent starts Derby CountyChampionship 26/27
Also in: Premier League
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Carlton Morris has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Carlton Morris in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlton MorrisDerby County | 4 | 1.76 | 1.51 |
| Sam DalbyBolton Wanderers | 8 | 1.41 | 1.41 |
| Patrick BamfordSheffield United | 7 | 1.47 | 1.31 |
| August PriskeBirmingham City | 7 | 2.53 | 1.74 |
| Tyreece CampbellCharlton Athletic | 8 | 1.79 | 1.10 |
| Rumarn BurrellQueens Park Rangers | 8 | 2.27 | 0.91 |
| These 5, combined | 1.89 | 1.29 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Carlton Morris featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Burnley19 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Birmingham City12 Sep | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Cardiff City22 Aug | 88 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Charlton Athletic15 Aug | 90 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sheffield United2 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Queens Park Rangers25 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Norwich21 Apr | 90 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oxford United18 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Southampton11 Apr | 90 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Stoke City6 Apr | 89 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Carlton Morris have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Carlton Morris has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Carlton Morris average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Carlton Morris is averaging 0.80 shots on target and 2.11 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Carlton Morris get booked?
Carlton Morris is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Carlton Morris commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Carlton Morris commits 2.31 fouls per 90 and wins 1.51 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Carlton Morris?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Carlton Morris plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.