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Championship · 25/26
CA

Carlton Morris

Forward · Derby County · Championship 25/26

In 25/26, Carlton Morris has hit 1+ shot on target in 52% of 31 Championship appearances (16 of 31), 1+ total shot in 77%, 1+ foul committed in 68%, 1+ foul won in 61%, and been booked in 16% (5 of 31). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
40%4 of 10
0.81
80%Hot8 of 10
2.17
60%6 of 10
1.63
70%7 of 10
2.85
10%1 of 10
0.14
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Derby County at Charlton Athletic
Sat 15 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Carlton Morris featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Sheffield United2 May 90 1 1 5 3 0
@ Queens Park Rangers25 Apr 90 0 1 0 1 0
@ Norwich21 Apr 90 2 2 5 0 0
Oxford United18 Apr 90 0 1 3 2 0
@ Southampton11 Apr 90 2 4 2 2 0
Stoke City6 Apr 89 1 5 2 3 0
@ Coventry City3 Apr 65 0 0 0 0 0
Birmingham City21 Mar 12 0 0 2 1 0
@ Portsmouth16 Mar 18 0 1 0 0 0
@ Millwall10 Mar 30 0 1 2 0 1
Officials on record
Gavin Ward 7 games · Carlton Morris never booked 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league
Josh Smith 6 games · Carlton Morris booked in 2 4.09cards/game 1.02×vs league
David Webb 6 games · Carlton Morris booked in 1 3.18cards/game 0.79×vs league
Dean Whitestone 6 games · Carlton Morris booked in 1 3.41cards/game 0.85×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 16 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Carlton Morris have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Carlton Morris has hit 1+ shot on target in 52% of 31 Championship appearances (16 of 31). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Carlton Morris average?

Across 31 Championship appearances in 25/26, Carlton Morris is averaging 0.85 shots on target and 1.94 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Carlton Morris get booked?

Carlton Morris is averaging 0.21 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Carlton Morris commit or win more fouls?

This season Carlton Morris commits 1.82 fouls per 90 and wins 1.40 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Carlton Morris?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Carlton Morris plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.