Carlton Morris
Striker 77% of 30 recent starts Derby CountyPremier League 23/24
Also in: Championship
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Carlton Morris has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 90%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Carlton Morris featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham19 May | 90 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| @ West Ham11 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Everton3 May | 90 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Wolves27 Apr | 90 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Brentford20 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Man City13 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bournemouth6 Apr | 90 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Arsenal3 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Tottenham30 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nottingham Forest16 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Carlton Morris have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Carlton Morris has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Carlton Morris average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Carlton Morris is averaging 0.90 shots on target and 1.70 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Carlton Morris get booked?
Carlton Morris is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Carlton Morris commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Carlton Morris commits 1.50 fouls per 90 and wins 1.20 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Carlton Morris?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Carlton Morris plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.