Andy Madley
Over the last 10 Premier League games Andy Madley has officiated, the average is 3.40 cards a match — 17% below the league average of 4.08. That splits 3.1 yellow and 0.3 red a game — a red in 2 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 1.8 to 1.6 a game, flatter than the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 30% of those games (3 of 10), from a 14.8% foul-to-booking rate. Penalties come less often than most: 15 awarded in 90 matches, 0.17 a game against a league average of 0.25. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Andy Madley turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Premier League season on record.
| Measure | Madley | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.71 | 4.08 |
| vs league | 0.91× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 16.3% | 18.6% |
| Fouls / match | 22.7 | 21.9 |
| Penalties awarded / match | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| Penalties awarded (total) | 15 in 90 | — |
| Red cards shown | 11 | — |
| Matches on record | 92 (3 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Premier League games Andy Madley took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Pen | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford v Chelsea18 Sep | 3–0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | — | 17 |
| Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest12 Sep | 1–2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
| Crystal Palace v Man City28 Aug | 1–4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | — | 19 |
| Man City v Aston Villa24 May | 1–2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| Fulham v Bournemouth9 May | 0–1 | 8 2 red | 6 | 2 | 0 | 33 |
| Liverpool v Crystal Palace25 Apr | 3–1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| Burnley v Man City22 Apr | 0–1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 |
| Crystal Palace v Newcastle12 Apr | 2–1 | 3 1 pen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 29 |
● a red card▪ a penalty awarded in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Andy Madley give per game?
Andy Madley averages 3.71 cards a game across 92 Premier League matches — 9% below the league average of 4.08. On an Andy Madley appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.91.
Is Andy Madley a strict referee?
No — more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Andy Madley runs at 16.3% against a league average of 18.6%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Andy Madley's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Andy Madley's card rate?
It rests on 92 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.