Andy Madley
Over his last 10 Premier League games, Andy Madley has averaged 3.50 cards a match — 14% below the league average of 4.09. That splits 3.1 yellow and 0.4 red a game — a red in 3 of the 10. The home side sees more of them — 1.7 to 1.8 a game, flatter than the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 30% of them (3 of 10), and he turned 13.8% of fouls into bookings. He points to the spot less often than most: 15 penalties in 89 matches, 0.17 a game against a league average of 0.25. These are raw match figures from games he took charge of, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Andy Madley turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Premier League season on record.
| Measure | Madley | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.70 | 4.09 |
| vs league | 0.90× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 16.3% | 18.7% |
| Fouls / match | 22.7 | 21.9 |
| Penalties awarded / match | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| Penalties awarded (total) | 15 in 89 | — |
| Red cards shown | 11 | — |
| Matches on record | 89 (21 in 25/26) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Premier League games Andy Madley took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Pen | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man City v Aston Villa24 May | 1–2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| Fulham v Bournemouth9 May | 0–1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 33 |
| Liverpool v Crystal Palace25 Apr | 3–1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| Burnley v Man City22 Apr | 0–1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 |
| Crystal Palace v Newcastle12 Apr | 2–1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 29 |
| Arsenal v Everton14 Mar | 2–0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
| Tottenham v Crystal Palace5 Mar | 1–3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 28 |
| Brighton v Nottingham Forest1 Mar | 2–1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 |
Frequently asked
How many cards does Andy Madley give per game?
Andy Madley averages 3.70 cards a game across 89 Premier League matches — 10% below the league average of 4.09. When he's appointed, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.90.
Is Andy Madley a strict referee?
No — he's more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls he turns into bookings — and Andy Madley runs at 16.3% against a league average of 18.7%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Andy Madley's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Andy Madley's card rate?
It rests on 89 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, an opponent factor and de-vigging, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.