Premier League · 26/27
Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip
›
Man City v Aston Villa
The SharpXI model's read on Man City vs Aston Villa — modelled probabilities for the player and team markets that matter in the bet builder, ranked by confidence.
See the full player stats boardPlayer markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin.
| Player | Market | Line | Model |
|---|
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 54% |
| Btts | Yes | 53% |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 27% |
Dig deeper
Man City & Aston Villa player stats→
Man City players & stats→
Aston Villa players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Aston Villa None–None Man City Oct 2026
- Man City 1–2 Aston Villa May 2026
- Aston Villa 1–0 Man City Oct 2025
- Man City 2–1 Aston Villa Apr 2025
- Aston Villa 2–1 Man City Dec 2024
- Man City 4–1 Aston Villa Apr 2024
- Aston Villa 1–0 Man City Dec 2023
- Man City 3–1 Aston Villa Feb 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.