What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, João Pedro has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 90%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to João Pedro in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 43 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| João PedroChelsea | 35 | 2.46 | 1.28 |
| Igor JesusNottingham Forest | 37 | 2.72 | 1.63 |
| RicharlisonTottenham Hotspur | 32 | 2.81 | 1.06 |
| Brian BrobbeySunderland | 31 | 1.67 | 1.48 |
| Dominic Calvert-LewinLeeds United | 35 | 2.44 | 1.49 |
| Raúl JiménezWolverhampton | 36 | 3.02 | 1.88 |
| These 5, combined | 2.54 | 1.52 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games João Pedro featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City12 Sep | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Arsenal6 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| Brighton30 Aug | 90 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Fulham24 Aug | 90 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sunderland24 May | 90 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Liverpool9 May | 90 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Nottingham Forest4 May | 90 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Man City12 Apr | 81 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Everton21 Mar | 78 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Newcastle14 Mar | 90 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does João Pedro have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, João Pedro has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does João Pedro average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, João Pedro is averaging 0.61 shots on target and 2.76 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does João Pedro get booked?
João Pedro is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does João Pedro commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games João Pedro commits 1.33 fouls per 90 and wins 2.46 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for João Pedro?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. João Pedro plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.