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SharpXI©
Championship 22/23
JO

João Pedro

Attacking midfielder 50% of 30 recent starts ChelseaChampionship 22/23

Also in: Premier League

Next match
Chelsea vs Burnley›
Sat 10 OctReferee Andy Madley

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 35 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship attacking midfielder, 25/26, 1,516 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.91 per 90
60%
6 of 101.9×
Total shots3.33 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.4×
Fouls won3.13 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 102.0×
Fouls committed1.82 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 102.0×
Tackles2.12 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 101.9×
22%
2 of 91.6×
Cards0.30 per 90
30%
3 of 102.8×
Goals0.20 per 90
20%
2 of 101.5×
form only
Assists0.20 per 90
20%
2 of 102.4×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Championship games, João Pedro has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 90%, 1+ foul won in 100%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

João Pedro has no Championship record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Champions League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Championship strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
João PedroChelseaUEFA Champions League 82.34 1.34
Jimmy MorganWest Bromwich Albion 81.78 2.07
Miles LeaburnCharlton Athletic 81.61 2.90
Kieffer MooreWrexham 82.49 1.15
August PriskeBirmingham City 72.53 1.74
Valentín CastellanosWest Ham United 82.97 1.98
These 5, combined 2.28 1.99

Recent matches

The last 10 games João Pedro featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Hull City22 Apr 90 1 5 2 1 5 1
Cardiff City19 Apr 90 0 2 0 4 1 0
Bristol City15 Apr 90 2 4 3 2 1 0
@ Coventry City10 Apr 90 2 3 1 1 4 0
Huddersfield Town7 Apr 90 1 4 3 2 1 1
@ Luton1 Apr 90 0 0 2 3 2 1
Wigan Athletic18 Mar 90 0 7 1 2 1 0
Birmingham City14 Mar 81 1 2 2 5 1 0
@ Queens Park Rangers11 Mar 90 0 2 2 8 4 0
Preston North End4 Mar 90 2 4 2 3 1 0
Officials on record
David Webb 4 games João Pedro booked in 1 3.19cards/game 0.80×vs league
Josh Smith 3 games João Pedro booked in 2 4.13cards/game 1.03×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does João Pedro have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, João Pedro has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does João Pedro average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, João Pedro is averaging 0.91 shots on target and 3.33 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does João Pedro get booked?

João Pedro is averaging 0.30 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does João Pedro commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games João Pedro commits 1.82 fouls per 90 and wins 3.13 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for João Pedro?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. João Pedro plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.