Zak Sturge
Full-back 93% of 30 recent starts MillwallChampionship 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship full-back, 25/26, 2,019 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
In 26/27, Zak Sturge has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% of 8 Championship appearances (0 of 8), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 88%, 1+ foul won in 62%, and been booked in 12% (1 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Zak Sturge in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 29 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zak SturgeMillwall | 8 | 0.52 | 1.70 |
| Callum BrittainMiddlesbrough | 8 | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Bright Osayi-SamuelBirmingham City | 8 | 0.56 | 1.25 |
| Charlie TaylorDerby County | 8 | 0.25 | 1.27 |
| Kyle Walker-PetersWest Ham United | 8 | 0.00 | 1.53 |
| Ivan MesíkCharlton Athletic | 7 | 0.36 | 0.91 |
| These 5, combined | 0.46 | 1.28 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Zak Sturge featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham19 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Middlesbrough15 Sep | 84 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Blackburn Rovers12 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Bolton Wanderers5 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wrexham2 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Southampton29 Aug | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Norwich22 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Bristol City15 Aug | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Hull City11 May | 63 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hull City8 May | 82 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Zak Sturge have a shot on target?
In 26/27, Zak Sturge has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% of 8 Championship appearances (0 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Zak Sturge average?
Across 8 Championship appearances in 26/27, Zak Sturge is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.52 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Zak Sturge get booked?
Zak Sturge is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Zak Sturge commit or win more fouls?
This season Zak Sturge commits 1.70 fouls per 90 and wins 1.18 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Zak Sturge?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Zak Sturge plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.