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Championship · 25/26
ZA

Zak Sturge

Defender · Millwall · Championship 25/26

In 25/26, Zak Sturge has hit 1+ shot on target in 8% of 40 Championship appearances (3 of 40), 1+ total shot in 32%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 35%, and been booked in 22% (9 of 40). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 45 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.11
60%6 of 10
0.79
60%6 of 10
1.02
80%Hot8 of 10
1.13
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Millwall at Bristol City
Sat 15 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Zak Sturge featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Hull City11 May 63 0 0 1 2 0
@ Hull City8 May 82 1 1 0 2 0
Oxford United2 May 61 0 1 1 0 0
@ Leicester24 Apr 82 0 1 1 1 0
@ Stoke City21 Apr 80 0 0 2 0 0
Queens Park Rangers18 Apr 90 0 1 1 2 0
@ West Brom10 Apr 73 0 2 1 0 0
Norwich6 Apr 87 0 0 2 1 0
@ Middlesbrough3 Apr 90 0 1 0 1 0
@ Ipswich21 Mar 90 0 0 1 0 0
Officials on record
Gavin Ward 4 games · Zak Sturge never booked 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league
Andrew Kitchen 3 games · Zak Sturge booked in 2 3.20cards/game 0.80×vs league
Tom Nield 3 games · Zak Sturge booked in 2 3.95cards/game 0.99×vs league
Tim Robinson 3 games · Zak Sturge never booked 4.57cards/game 1.14×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Zak Sturge have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Zak Sturge has hit 1+ shot on target in 8% of 40 Championship appearances (3 of 40). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Zak Sturge average?

Across 40 Championship appearances in 25/26, Zak Sturge is averaging 0.11 shots on target and 0.53 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Zak Sturge get booked?

Zak Sturge is averaging 0.32 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Zak Sturge commit or win more fouls?

This season Zak Sturge commits 1.25 fouls per 90 and wins 0.78 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Zak Sturge?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Zak Sturge plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.