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Championship 26/27
BR

Bright Osayi-Samuel

Full-back 100% of 27 recent starts Birmingham CityChampionship 26/27

Next match
Birmingham City at West Bromwich Albion›
Sat 10 OctReferee Gavin Ward

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 35 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship full-back, 25/26, 2,019 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
7.00bet365Edge
Total shots0.45 per 90
40%
4 of 101.1×
2.50bet365Edge
Fouls won1.56 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.8×
1.33bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.12 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
1.29PPEdge
Tackles3.13 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.45 per 90
40%
4 of 102.6×
5.50bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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In 26/27, Bright Osayi-Samuel has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% of 8 Championship appearances (0 of 8), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 75%, 1+ foul won in 75%, and been booked in 38% (3 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Bright Osayi-Samuel in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 29 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Bright Osayi-SamuelBirmingham City 80.56 1.25
Filip LissahSwansea City 80.00 1.34
Zak SturgeMillwall 80.52 1.70
Ben ChriseneNorwich City 80.68 0.54
Danny McNamaraCharlton Athletic 70.33 0.65
Ivan MesíkCharlton Athletic 70.36 0.91
These 5, combined 0.39 1.05

Recent matches

The last 10 games Bright Osayi-Samuel featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Middlesbrough19 Sep 90 0 1 2 0 0 0
@ Derby County12 Sep 90 0 0 2 3 5 0
@ Norwich9 Sep 62 0 0 0 1 4 0
Wolves6 Sep 90 0 0 1 2 3 0
Southampton1 Sep 90 0 1 2 2 0 1
@ Wrexham28 Aug 89 0 0 1 1 3 1
Bristol City22 Aug 45 0 1 1 2 1 1
@ Sheffield United15 Aug 90 0 1 0 0 4 0
@ Portsmouth2 May 90 0 0 1 1 5 1
Bristol City25 Apr 70 0 0 0 2 3 0
Officials on record
John Busby 4 games Bright Osayi-Samuel booked in 1 3.80cards/game 0.95×vs league
Adam Herczeg 4 games Bright Osayi-Samuel never booked 3.85cards/game 0.96×vs league
Robert Jones 3 games Bright Osayi-Samuel booked in 1

Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Bright Osayi-Samuel have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Bright Osayi-Samuel has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% of 8 Championship appearances (0 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Bright Osayi-Samuel average?

Across 8 Championship appearances in 26/27, Bright Osayi-Samuel is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.56 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Bright Osayi-Samuel get booked?

Bright Osayi-Samuel is averaging 0.42 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Bright Osayi-Samuel commit or win more fouls?

This season Bright Osayi-Samuel commits 1.25 fouls per 90 and wins 1.53 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Bright Osayi-Samuel?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Bright Osayi-Samuel plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.