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Championship 26/27
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Tomoki Iwata

Central midfielder 60% of 30 recent starts Birmingham CityChampionship 26/27

Next match
Birmingham City at West Bromwich Albion›
Sat 10 OctReferee Gavin Ward

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship central midfielder, 25/26, 3,484 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
4.00bet365Edge
Total shots1.08 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
1.67PPEdge
Fouls won0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
1.73PPEdge
Fouls committed0.65 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
1.30PPEdge
Tackles0.87 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
10%
1 of 101.1×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
4.75bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 26/27, Tomoki Iwata has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Championship appearances (1 of 8), 1+ total shot in 88%, 1+ foul committed in 75%, 1+ foul won in 12%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Tomoki Iwata in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 41 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Tomoki IwataBirmingham City 81.26 0.76
Alfie DevinePreston North End 81.31 0.78
Zak VynerWrexham 60.18 0.88
Ben WhitemanWrexham 80.83 1.38
Marko StamenićSwansea City 81.01 1.16
Alex RobertsonCardiff City 81.40 0.89
These 5, combined 0.99 1.02

Recent matches

The last 10 games Tomoki Iwata featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Middlesbrough19 Sep 90 0 2 1 0 0 0
@ Derby County12 Sep 90 0 1 1 0 1 0
@ Norwich9 Sep 82 0 1 1 0 1 0
Wolves6 Sep 90 1 2 0 0 1 0
Southampton1 Sep 90 0 2 1 0 0 0
@ Wrexham28 Aug 90 0 0 1 0 0 0
Bristol City22 Aug 90 0 1 0 0 1 0
@ Sheffield United15 Aug 90 0 1 1 1 3 0
@ Portsmouth2 May 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
Bristol City25 Apr 30 0 0 0 1 1 0
Officials on record
John Busby 4 games Tomoki Iwata never booked 3.80cards/game 0.95×vs league
David Webb 3 games Tomoki Iwata booked in 1 3.19cards/game 0.80×vs league
Adam Herczeg 3 games Tomoki Iwata never booked 3.85cards/game 0.96×vs league
Andrew Kitchen 3 games Tomoki Iwata never booked 3.21cards/game 0.80×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Tomoki Iwata have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Tomoki Iwata has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Championship appearances (1 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Tomoki Iwata average?

Across 8 Championship appearances in 26/27, Tomoki Iwata is averaging 0.13 shots on target and 1.26 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Tomoki Iwata get booked?

Tomoki Iwata is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Tomoki Iwata commit or win more fouls?

This season Tomoki Iwata commits 0.76 fouls per 90 and wins 0.13 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tomoki Iwata?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Tomoki Iwata plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.