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Championship 26/27
AL

Alfie Devine

Central midfielder 62% of 29 recent starts Preston North EndChampionship 26/27

Next match
Preston North End vs Millwall›
Sat 10 OctReferee Benjamin Speedie

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship central midfielder, 25/26, 3,484 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.32 per 90
20%
2 of 101.1×
2.02MGMEdge
Total shots1.40 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
1.11bet365Edge
Fouls won1.18 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
Fouls committed0.65 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Tackles1.29 per 90
70%
7 of 101.0×
20%
2 of 102.2×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
4.00PPEdge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.22 per 90
10%
1 of 102.0×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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In 26/27, Alfie Devine has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Championship appearances (1 of 8), 1+ total shot in 75%, 1+ foul committed in 38%, 1+ foul won in 62%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Alfie Devine in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 41 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Alfie DevinePreston North End 81.31 0.78
Tomoki IwataBirmingham City 81.26 0.76
Marko StamenićSwansea City 81.01 1.16
Arne EngelsWest Ham United 80.63 0.63
Zak VynerWrexham 60.18 0.88
Alex RobertsonCardiff City 81.40 0.89
These 5, combined 0.94 0.85

Recent matches

The last 10 games Alfie Devine featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Queens Park Rangers19 Sep 90 0 0 1 0 2 0
Lincoln City12 Sep 90 0 2 0 0 3 0
@ Watford8 Sep 82 1 2 0 0 1 0
Blackburn Rovers5 Sep 74 0 1 0 1 0 0
Bristol City1 Sep 82 0 1 3 1 0 0
@ Charlton Athletic29 Aug 90 0 2 2 2 1 0
Wolves22 Aug 90 0 0 0 1 2 0
@ Bolton Wanderers15 Aug 90 0 2 0 1 1 0
Southampton2 May 58 2 3 0 1 0 0
@ Sheffield United25 Apr 90 0 0 0 4 2 0
Officials on record
Farai Hallam 4 games Alfie Devine booked in 1 3.74cards/game 0.93×vs league
Lewis Smith 4 games Alfie Devine booked in 1 3.65cards/game 0.91×vs league
Andrew Kitchen 4 games Alfie Devine never booked 3.21cards/game 0.80×vs league
Anthony Backhouse 4 games Alfie Devine never booked 4.47cards/game 1.11×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Alfie Devine have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Alfie Devine has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 8 Championship appearances (1 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Alfie Devine average?

Across 8 Championship appearances in 26/27, Alfie Devine is averaging 0.13 shots on target and 1.31 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Alfie Devine get booked?

Alfie Devine is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Alfie Devine commit or win more fouls?

This season Alfie Devine commits 0.78 fouls per 90 and wins 0.78 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Alfie Devine?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Alfie Devine plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.