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Championship 26/27
LY

Lyndon Dykes

Striker 90% of 30 recent starts MillwallChampionship 26/27

Next match
Millwall at Preston North End›
Sat 10 OctReferee Benjamin Speedie

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.99 per 90
50%
5 of 101.3×
1.95MGMEdge
Total shots2.48 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
1.04bet365Edge
Fouls won0.66 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
Fouls committed2.32 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.5×
Tackles0.66 per 90
30%
3 of 101.0×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.17 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
6.00bet365Edge
Goals0.66 per 90
30%
3 of 101.8×
form only
Assists0.17 per 90
10%
1 of 102.0×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 26/27, Lyndon Dykes has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of 8 Championship appearances (4 of 8), 1+ total shot in 75%, 1+ foul committed in 88%, 1+ foul won in 25%, and been booked in 12% (1 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Lyndon Dykes in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 18 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Lyndon DykesMillwall 82.59 2.20
Andri GuðjohnsenBlackburn Rovers 71.37 1.17
Kieffer MooreWrexham 82.49 1.15
Mamadou DoumbiaWatford 81.29 2.21
Sam DalbyBolton Wanderers 81.41 1.41
Miles LeaburnCharlton Athletic 81.61 2.90
These 5, combined 1.62 1.79

Recent matches

The last 10 games Lyndon Dykes featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
West Ham19 Sep 90 1 2 2 2 0 0
@ Middlesbrough15 Sep 56 1 2 0 0 1 0
@ Blackburn Rovers12 Sep 90 1 3 1 0 2 0
Bolton Wanderers5 Sep 90 2 3 3 0 0 0
Wrexham2 Sep 90 0 1 2 1 0 1
@ Southampton29 Aug 10 0 0 1 0 0 0
Norwich22 Aug 12 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ Bristol City15 Aug 13 0 2 1 0 0 0
@ Swansea City2 May 78 0 1 3 1 0 0
Hull City25 Apr 15 1 1 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Andrew Kitchen 8 games Lyndon Dykes booked in 2 3.21cards/game 0.80×vs league
Oliver Langford 8 games Lyndon Dykes booked in 2 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league
Josh Smith 7 games Lyndon Dykes booked in 2 4.13cards/game 1.03×vs league
Gavin Ward 5 games Lyndon Dykes booked in 1 3.73cards/game 0.93×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Lyndon Dykes have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Lyndon Dykes has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of 8 Championship appearances (4 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Lyndon Dykes average?

Across 8 Championship appearances in 26/27, Lyndon Dykes is averaging 1.00 shots on target and 2.59 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Lyndon Dykes get booked?

Lyndon Dykes is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Lyndon Dykes commit or win more fouls?

This season Lyndon Dykes commits 2.20 fouls per 90 and wins 0.60 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lyndon Dykes?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lyndon Dykes plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.