Mathias Kvistgaarden
Striker 69% of 13 recent starts NorwichChampionship 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Mathias Kvistgaarden has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Mathias Kvistgaarden in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias KvistgaardenNorwich City | 5 | 2.42 | 1.21 |
| Kieffer MooreWrexham | 8 | 2.49 | 1.15 |
| Lyndon DykesMillwall | 8 | 2.59 | 2.20 |
| Andri GuðjohnsenBlackburn Rovers | 7 | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| Mohamed TouréNorwich City | 7 | 2.17 | 0.99 |
| Lorent TolajBristol City | 8 | 4.39 | 2.93 |
| These 5, combined | 2.67 | 1.73 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Mathias Kvistgaarden featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City9 Sep | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Sheffield United5 Sep | 29 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Stoke City1 Sep | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Burnley29 Aug | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| West Brom15 Aug | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hull City2 May | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Swansea City25 Apr | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Derby County21 Apr | 28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Bristol City18 Apr | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ipswich11 Apr | 45 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Mathias Kvistgaarden have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Mathias Kvistgaarden has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Mathias Kvistgaarden average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Mathias Kvistgaarden is averaging 1.41 shots on target and 2.47 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Mathias Kvistgaarden get booked?
Mathias Kvistgaarden is averaging 0.35 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Mathias Kvistgaarden commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Mathias Kvistgaarden commits 1.76 fouls per 90 and wins 2.82 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mathias Kvistgaarden?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Mathias Kvistgaarden plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.