What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Lewis Dobbin has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 10%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Lewis Dobbin in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis DobbinSouthampton | 7 | 1.67 | 0.00 |
| Andri GuðjohnsenBlackburn Rovers | 7 | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| Kieffer MooreWrexham | 8 | 2.49 | 1.15 |
| Lyndon DykesMillwall | 8 | 2.59 | 2.20 |
| Mamadou DoumbiaWatford | 8 | 1.29 | 2.21 |
| Mohamed TouréNorwich City | 7 | 2.17 | 0.99 |
| These 5, combined | 1.97 | 1.55 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Lewis Dobbin featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Wrexham19 Sep | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bristol City12 Sep | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Lincoln City5 Sep | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Birmingham City1 Sep | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Millwall29 Aug | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stoke City22 Aug | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Watford16 Aug | 57 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Southampton2 May | 90 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sheffield United25 Apr | 90 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Birmingham City22 Apr | 84 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Lewis Dobbin have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Lewis Dobbin has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Lewis Dobbin average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Lewis Dobbin is averaging 1.45 shots on target and 2.90 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Lewis Dobbin get booked?
Lewis Dobbin is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Lewis Dobbin commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Lewis Dobbin commits 0.24 fouls per 90 and wins 0.73 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lewis Dobbin?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lewis Dobbin plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.