What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Adam Armstrong has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 0%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Adam Armstrong in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adam ArmstrongWolverhampton | 7 | 1.48 | 1.48 |
| Mohamed TouréNorwich City | 7 | 2.17 | 0.99 |
| Rumarn BurrellQueens Park Rangers | 8 | 2.27 | 0.91 |
| Patrick BamfordSheffield United | 7 | 1.47 | 1.31 |
| Mamadou DoumbiaWatford | 8 | 1.29 | 2.21 |
| Tyreece CampbellCharlton Athletic | 8 | 1.79 | 1.10 |
| These 5, combined | 1.80 | 1.28 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Adam Armstrong featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom20 Sep | 88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sheffield United13 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Birmingham City6 Sep | 87 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ West Ham1 Sep | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stoke City29 Aug | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Preston North End22 Aug | 23 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Blackburn Rovers14 Aug | 90 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Portsmouth25 Jan | 68 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sheffield United21 Jan | 29 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hull City17 Jan | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Adam Armstrong have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Adam Armstrong has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Adam Armstrong average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Adam Armstrong is averaging 0.59 shots on target and 1.91 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Adam Armstrong get booked?
Adam Armstrong is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Adam Armstrong commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Adam Armstrong commits 1.18 fouls per 90 and wins 0.00 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Adam Armstrong?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Adam Armstrong plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.