Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell us →Updated daily. Tell us →
SharpXI© Open the screener
Championship · 25/26
AD

Adam Armstrong

Forward · Southampton · Championship 25/26

In 25/26, Adam Armstrong has hit 1+ shot on target in 66% of 29 Championship appearances (19 of 29), 1+ total shot in 86%, 1+ foul committed in 59%, 1+ foul won in 31%, and been booked in 14% (4 of 29). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
70%7 of 10
1.40
90%Hot9 of 10
3.06
30%3 of 10
0.64
60%6 of 10
1.28
10%1 of 10
0.13
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Southampton at Watford
Sun 16 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Adam Armstrong featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Portsmouth25 Jan 68 2 2 1 0 0
Sheffield United21 Jan 29 0 1 0 0 0
Hull City17 Jan 90 1 3 0 0 0
@ Middlesbrough4 Jan 74 0 3 1 0 0
Millwall1 Jan 31 0 0 0 0 0
@ Birmingham City29 Dec 68 1 3 2 0 0
@ Oxford United26 Dec 90 1 3 0 1 0
Coventry City20 Dec 90 1 3 1 0 0
@ Norwich13 Dec 90 2 3 2 2 0
West Brom9 Dec 75 3 3 3 2 1
Officials on record
David Webb 8 games · Adam Armstrong never booked 3.18cards/game 0.79×vs league
James Bell 8 games · Adam Armstrong never booked 3.96cards/game 0.99×vs league
Matt Donohue 7 games · Adam Armstrong never booked 4.37cards/game 1.09×vs league
Oliver Langford 6 games · Adam Armstrong never booked 3.74cards/game 0.93×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Adam Armstrong have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Adam Armstrong has hit 1+ shot on target in 66% of 29 Championship appearances (19 of 29). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Adam Armstrong average?

Across 29 Championship appearances in 25/26, Adam Armstrong is averaging 1.63 shots on target and 3.84 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Adam Armstrong get booked?

Adam Armstrong is averaging 0.18 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Adam Armstrong commit or win more fouls?

This season Adam Armstrong commits 1.19 fouls per 90 and wins 0.57 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Adam Armstrong?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Adam Armstrong plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.