What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Adam Armstrong has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Adam Armstrong in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 43 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adam ArmstrongWolverhampton | 14 | 1.41 | 1.02 |
| Danny WelbeckChelsea | 37 | 2.22 | 1.19 |
| Hwang Hee-chanFC Schalke 04 | 26 | 1.17 | 1.72 |
| EvanilsonBournemouth | 36 | 2.28 | 0.85 |
| Alexander IsakLiverpool FC | 14 | 2.14 | 0.63 |
| Viktor GyökeresArsenal | 36 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| These 5, combined | 2.07 | 1.18 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Adam Armstrong featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Burnley24 May | 74 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fulham17 May | 72 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Brighton9 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sunderland2 May | 90 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Tottenham25 Apr | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Leeds18 Apr | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ West Ham10 Apr | 71 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Brentford16 Mar | 87 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Liverpool3 Mar | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Aston Villa27 Feb | 89 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Adam Armstrong have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Adam Armstrong has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Adam Armstrong average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Adam Armstrong is averaging 0.66 shots on target and 1.77 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Adam Armstrong get booked?
Adam Armstrong is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Adam Armstrong commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Adam Armstrong commits 1.00 fouls per 90 and wins 0.33 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Adam Armstrong?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Adam Armstrong plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.