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Premier League 26/27
KA

Kai Havertz

Striker 83% of 30 recent starts ArsenalPremier League 26/27

Next match
Arsenal vs Leeds United›
Sat 10 OctReferee Paul Tierney

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.15 per 90
70%
7 of 101.8×
1.53bet365Edge
Total shots2.69 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
1.02bet365Edge
Fouls won1.15 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
1.20bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.28 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.6×
1.33bet365Edge
Tackles0.38 per 90
20%
2 of 100.6×
20%
2 of 103.4×
Cards0.26 per 90
20%
2 of 102.2×
6.00bet365Edge
Goals0.51 per 90
40%
4 of 102.0×
form only
Assists0.26 per 90
20%
2 of 104.3×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Kai Havertz has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Kai Havertz in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 43 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Kai HavertzArsenal 122.78 1.23
Noah OkaforLeeds United 282.00 1.03
Igor JesusNottingham Forest 372.72 1.63
Raúl JiménezWolverhampton 363.02 1.88
RicharlisonTottenham Hotspur 322.81 1.06
João PedroChelsea 352.46 1.28
These 5, combined 2.63 1.40

Recent matches

The last 10 games Kai Havertz featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Brighton19 Sep 90 1 2 1 2 0 0
@ Sunderland12 Sep 90 1 3 2 1 0 1
Chelsea6 Sep 78 2 3 0 2 0 0
@ Aston Villa31 Aug 90 1 1 1 2 0 0
Coventry City21 Aug 90 1 1 2 2 0 0
@ Crystal Palace24 May 45 0 3 1 0 1 0
Burnley18 May 73 1 3 1 0 0 1
@ West Ham10 May 23 0 0 1 0 2 0
Newcastle25 Apr 34 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Man City19 Apr 90 2 5 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Michael Oliver 15 games Kai Havertz booked in 3 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Paul Tierney 9 games Kai Havertz booked in 2 3.74cards/game 0.92×vs league
Chris Kavanagh 9 games Kai Havertz booked in 1 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league
Jarred Gillett 7 games Kai Havertz never booked 3.85cards/game 0.94×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Kai Havertz have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Kai Havertz has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Kai Havertz average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Kai Havertz is averaging 1.15 shots on target and 2.69 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Kai Havertz get booked?

Kai Havertz is averaging 0.26 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Kai Havertz commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Kai Havertz commits 1.28 fouls per 90 and wins 1.15 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Kai Havertz?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Kai Havertz plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.