What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League full-back, 25/26, 1,736 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Riccardo Calafiori has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Riccardo Calafiori in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 61 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Riccardo CalafioriArsenal | 26 | 1.69 | 1.37 |
| Nico O'ReillyManchester City | 34 | 1.39 | 1.53 |
| Pedro PorroTottenham Hotspur | 34 | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| Jurriën TimberArsenal | 30 | 0.92 | 1.39 |
| Matty CashAston Villa | 35 | 0.89 | 1.22 |
| Trai HumeSunderland | 38 | 1.01 | 0.92 |
| These 5, combined | 1.04 | 1.21 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Riccardo Calafiori featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Brighton19 Sep | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Sunderland12 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chelsea6 Sep | 67 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Aston Villa31 Aug | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Coventry City21 Aug | 81 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Crystal Palace24 May | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Burnley18 May | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ West Ham10 May | 45 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fulham2 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Everton14 Mar | 74 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Riccardo Calafiori have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Riccardo Calafiori has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Riccardo Calafiori average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Riccardo Calafiori is averaging 0.48 shots on target and 1.81 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Riccardo Calafiori get booked?
Riccardo Calafiori is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Riccardo Calafiori commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Riccardo Calafiori commits 0.48 fouls per 90 and wins 0.24 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Riccardo Calafiori?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Riccardo Calafiori plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.