Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Serie A 23/24
RI

Riccardo Calafiori

Centre-back 96% of 26 recent starts ArsenalSerie A 23/24

Also in: Premier League

Next match
Arsenal at Lecce›
Sun 11 OctReferee Luca Pairetto

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 30 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A centre-back, 25/26, 1,351 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.50 per 90
30%
3 of 102.9×
Total shots0.88 per 90
50%
5 of 101.5×
Fouls won1.39 per 90
70%
7 of 101.8×
Fouls committed1.13 per 90
60%
6 of 101.0×
Tackles2.52 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.4×
10%
1 of 10
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Goals0.25 per 90
10%
1 of 102.7×
form only
Assists0.38 per 90
30%
3 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Riccardo Calafiori has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

Riccardo Calafiori has no Serie A record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Premier League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Serie A full-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Riccardo CalafioriArsenalPremier League 261.69 1.37
Zachary AthekameOlympique Lyonnais 271.37 1.69
Charalampos LykogiannisAEK Athens 101.00 1.15
Alberto MorenoComo 190.80 1.23
Robin GosensFC Schalke 04 260.86 1.14
Giovanni Di LorenzoSSC Napoli 260.99 1.30
These 5, combined 0.97 1.28

Recent matches

The last 10 games Riccardo Calafiori featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Juventus20 May 75 2 2 2 2 2 0
@ SSC Napoli11 May 90 0 2 1 2 3 0
@ Torino3 May 90 0 0 1 2 3 0
@ AS Roma22 Apr 80 0 0 0 1 1 0
@ Frosinone7 Apr 90 0 1 2 1 2 0
Salernitana1 Apr 90 0 0 1 1 4 0
@ Empoli15 Mar 90 1 1 2 2 3 0
@ Atalanta3 Mar 90 1 1 0 0 1 0
@ Lazio18 Feb 10 0 0 0 0 1 0
Fiorentina14 Feb 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Fabio Maresca 4 games Riccardo Calafiori never booked 5.35cards/game 1.28×vs league
Federico La Penna 3 games Riccardo Calafiori never booked 4.32cards/game 1.03×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Riccardo Calafiori have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Riccardo Calafiori has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Riccardo Calafiori average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Riccardo Calafiori is averaging 0.50 shots on target and 0.88 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Riccardo Calafiori get booked?

Riccardo Calafiori is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Riccardo Calafiori commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Riccardo Calafiori commits 1.13 fouls per 90 and wins 1.39 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Riccardo Calafiori?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Riccardo Calafiori plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.