Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Serie A 26/27
LE

Lewis Ferguson

Central midfielder 93% of 30 recent starts BolognaSerie A 26/27

Next match
Bologna at Lecce›
Sun 11 OctReferee Luca Pairetto

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A central midfielder, 25/26, 2,920 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
3.75bet365Edge
Total shots0.55 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
1.83bet365Edge
Fouls won1.11 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
1.33PPEdge
Fouls committed1.88 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.4×
1.29PPEdge
Tackles2.21 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.4×
0%
0 of 9
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
4.50PPEdge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Lewis Ferguson has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Lewis Ferguson in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 106 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Lewis FergusonBologna 270.73 1.85
Warren BondoAC Milan 270.41 1.98
Hans Nicolussi CavigliaParma 261.22 1.40
Lennon MillerUdinese 240.80 1.24
Simon SohmVenezia 280.56 1.56
Youssef MalehLecce 231.26 2.06
These 5, combined 0.84 1.70

Recent matches

The last 10 games Lewis Ferguson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Torino19 Sep 90 0 0 3 2 2 0
@ SSC Napoli13 Sep 90 0 0 3 1 2 0
Sassuolo6 Sep 90 0 1 2 2 4 0
@ Atalanta31 Aug 90 0 1 3 0 3 0
Lazio22 Aug 90 1 1 2 0 2 0
Inter23 May 90 0 1 1 2 1 0
@ Atalanta17 May 90 0 0 1 1 1 0
@ SSC Napoli11 May 81 0 1 2 0 3 0
Cagliari3 May 12 0 0 0 0 0 0
AS Roma25 Apr 90 0 0 0 2 2 0
Officials on record
Federico La Penna 7 games Lewis Ferguson booked in 2 4.32cards/game 1.03×vs league
Fabio Maresca 6 games Lewis Ferguson booked in 1 5.35cards/game 1.28×vs league
Luca Pairetto 6 games Lewis Ferguson never booked 4.65cards/game 1.11×vs league
Marco Di Bello 6 games Lewis Ferguson never booked 3.63cards/game 0.87×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Lewis Ferguson have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Lewis Ferguson has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Lewis Ferguson average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Lewis Ferguson is averaging 0.11 shots on target and 0.55 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Lewis Ferguson get booked?

Lewis Ferguson is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Lewis Ferguson commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Lewis Ferguson commits 1.88 fouls per 90 and wins 1.11 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lewis Ferguson?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lewis Ferguson plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.