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Serie A referee · card profile
DA

Daniele Doveri

Serie A referee · 68 matches on record · 13.9% conversion

Over his last 10 Serie A games, Daniele Doveri has averaged 2.50 cards a match — 41% below the league average of 4.21. That's 2.5 yellow a game, with no red card in the 10. The home side sees more of them — 0.9 to 1.6 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 10% of them (1 of 10), and he turned 11.1% of fouls into bookings. He points to the spot at about the league's rate: 15 penalties in 68 matches, 0.22 a game against a league average of 0.30. These are raw match figures from games he took charge of, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

Match cards last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer gameModel
These are Daniele Doveri's own match figures — the raw card and foul counts in games he took charge of. They're not adjusted for how aggressive the two teams are or whether it's a derby. The model layers those in — the referee tendency, each player's booking rate and an opponent card-induction factor — to price a specific leg. That combined verdict is the locked price · edge.
last 10

Career profile

The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Daniele Doveri turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Serie A season on record.

MeasureDoveri League avg
Cards / match3.38 4.21
vs league0.80× 1.00×
Foul-to-card conversion13.9% 17.0%
Fouls / match24.4 24.8
Penalties awarded / match0.22 0.30
Penalties awarded (total)15 in 68
Red cards shown12
Matches on record68 (19 in 25/26)

Recent matches

The last 8 Serie A games Daniele Doveri took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.

MatchScoreCardsYRPenFouls
Lecce v Genoa24 May 1–0 2 2 0 0 17
Pisa v Lecce1 May 1–2 6 6 0 0 28
SSC Napoli v Cremonese24 Apr 4–0 0 0 0 1 18
Cagliari v Cremonese11 Apr 1–0 2 2 0 0 26
SSC Napoli v AC Milan6 Apr 1–0 2 2 0 0 13
AC Milan v Inter8 Mar 1–0 4 4 0 0 20
Juventus v Como21 Feb 0–2 1 1 0 0 25
Hellas Verona v Pisa6 Feb 0–0 3 3 0 0 29

Frequently asked

How many cards does Daniele Doveri give per game?

Daniele Doveri averages 3.38 cards a game across 68 Serie A matches — 20% below the league average of 4.21. When he's appointed, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.80.

Is Daniele Doveri a strict referee?

No — he's more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls he turns into bookings — and Daniele Doveri runs at 13.9% against a league average of 17.0%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.

Does Daniele Doveri's record change bet builder card prices?

It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.

How reliable is Daniele Doveri's card rate?

It rests on 68 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.

Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, an opponent factor and de-vigging, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.