Daniele Orsato
Daniele Orsato has not taken charge of a Serie A match in 25/26. The figures below are a career record. Over the last 10 Serie A games Daniele Orsato has officiated, the average is 4.90 cards a match — 16% above the league average of 4.21. That splits 4.8 yellow and 0.1 red a game — a red in 1 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 3.4 to 1.5 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 60% of those games (6 of 10), from a 20.9% foul-to-booking rate. Penalties come at about the league's rate: 5 awarded in 31 matches, 0.16 a game against a league average of 0.29. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Daniele Orsato turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Serie A season on record.
| Measure | Orsato | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.13 | 4.21 |
| vs league | 0.98× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 18.5% | 17.0% |
| Fouls / match | 22.3 | 24.8 |
| Penalties awarded / match | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| Penalties awarded (total) | 5 in 31 | — |
| Red cards shown | 4 | — |
| Matches on record | 31 (0 in 25/26) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Serie A games Daniele Orsato took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Pen | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta v Fiorentina2 Jun | 2–3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| Frosinone v Bologna7 Apr | 0–0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
| SSC Napoli v Torino8 Mar | 1–1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 |
| AC Milan v Atalanta25 Feb | 1–1 | 5▪ | 5 | 0 | 1 | 28 |
| Sassuolo v Torino10 Feb | 1–1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
| Lazio v SSC Napoli28 Jan | 0–0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 |
| Salernitana v Genoa21 Jan | 1–2 | 5▪ | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22 |
| Udinese v Bologna30 Dec | 3–0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 29 |
● a red card · ▪ a penalty awarded in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Daniele Orsato give per game?
Daniele Orsato averages 4.13 cards a game across 31 Serie A matches — roughly below the league average of 4.21. On a Daniele Orsato appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.98.
Is Daniele Orsato a strict referee?
Slightly, yes. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Daniele Orsato runs at 18.5% against a league average of 17.0%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Daniele Orsato's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Daniele Orsato's card rate?
It rests on 31 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.