Serie A · 23/24
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Salernitana v Genoa
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Salernitana1 – 2
Genoa
21 Jan 2024
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 7 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Retegui | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Albert Guðmundsson | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ruslan Malinovskyi | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Giulio Maggiore | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 0 | ✗ |
| Loum Tchaouna | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Grigoris Kastanos | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Simy | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Toma Bašić | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Antonio Candreva | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 4 | ✓ |
| Toma Bašić | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 0 | ✗ |
| Grigoris Kastanos | fouls drawn | 1+ | 75% | 0 | ✗ |
| Mateo Retegui | fouls committed | 1+ | 75% | 1 | ✓ |
| Toma Bašić | fouls drawn | 1+ | 75% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ruslan Malinovskyi | fouls committed | 1+ | 75% | 0 | ✗ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 55% | 5 cards | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 37% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 30% | 3 goals | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Salernitana & Genoa player stats→
Salernitana players & stats→
Genoa players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Genoa 1–0 Salernitana Oct 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.