SSC Napoli v Cremonese
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alisson Santos | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 3 | ✓ |
| Scott McTominay | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 10 | ✓ |
| Rasmus Højlund | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 4 | ✓ |
| Giovane | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kevin De Bruyne | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Matteo Politano | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 0 | ✗ |
| Federico Bonazzoli | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Youssef Maleh | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 1 | ✓ |
| Alessio Zerbin | fouls committed | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Federico Bonazzoli | fouls drawn | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Warren Bondo | fouls committed | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| David Okereke | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Martín Payero | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
| Alessandro Buongiorno | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 44% | 4 goals | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 42% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 11% | 0 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Cremonese 0–2 SSC Napoli Dec 2025
- SSC Napoli 3–0 Cremonese Feb 2023
- Cremonese 1–4 SSC Napoli Oct 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.