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Serie A 26/27
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Tommaso Pobega

Central midfielder 97% of 30 recent starts BolognaSerie A 26/27

Next match
Bologna at Lecce›
Sun 11 OctReferee Luca Pairetto

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A central midfielder, 25/26, 2,920 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.33 per 90
20%
2 of 101.0×
2.75MGMEdge
Total shots1.47 per 90
70%
7 of 101.4×
1.22PPEdge
Fouls won0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
1.53PPEdge
Fouls committed2.29 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.4×
1.20PPEdge
Tackles1.96 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.3×
20%
2 of 102.1×
Cards0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
4.33PPEdge
Goals0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 101.6×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Tommaso Pobega has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Tommaso Pobega in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 106 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Tommaso PobegaBologna 261.55 2.17
Suat SerdarHellas Verona 201.53 1.53
Jakub PiotrowskiUdinese 331.91 1.54
Youssef MalehLecce 231.26 2.06
Khéphren ThuramJuventus 351.83 1.39
Luca MazzitelliCagliari 181.72 2.52
These 5, combined 1.68 1.70

Recent matches

The last 10 games Tommaso Pobega featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Torino19 Sep 77 0 2 4 0 3 0
@ SSC Napoli13 Sep 58 1 2 1 1 1 0
Sassuolo6 Sep 45 0 1 1 0 0 0
@ Atalanta31 Aug 72 0 1 1 0 1 0
Inter23 May 66 1 1 2 0 1 0
@ Atalanta17 May 69 0 0 2 0 1 1
@ SSC Napoli11 May 82 0 1 2 0 2 0
@ Juventus19 Apr 58 0 1 0 0 2 0
Lecce12 Apr 16 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ Cremonese5 Apr 8 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Daniele Doveri 5 games Tommaso Pobega booked in 1 3.34cards/game 0.80×vs league
Davide Massa 5 games Tommaso Pobega booked in 1 5.18cards/game 1.24×vs league
Maurizio Mariani 5 games Tommaso Pobega never booked 4.13cards/game 0.99×vs league
Michael Fabbri 4 games Tommaso Pobega booked in 1 4.29cards/game 1.02×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Tommaso Pobega have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Tommaso Pobega has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Tommaso Pobega average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Tommaso Pobega is averaging 0.33 shots on target and 1.47 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Tommaso Pobega get booked?

Tommaso Pobega is averaging 0.16 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Tommaso Pobega commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Tommaso Pobega commits 2.29 fouls per 90 and wins 0.16 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tommaso Pobega?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Tommaso Pobega plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.