Mario Hermoso
Wide centre-back 100% of 30 recent starts AS RomaSerie A 26/27
Also in: La LigaBundesliga
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A wide centre-back, 25/26, 1,005 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Mario Hermoso has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 50% (5 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wide centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Mario Hermoso in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 37 wide centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mario HermosoAS Roma | 27 | 0.86 | 1.72 |
| Alessandro BastoniInter | 28 | 0.68 | 1.80 |
| Gianluca ManciniAS Roma | 36 | 0.59 | 2.08 |
| Unai NúñezEspanyol | 17 | 0.50 | 1.92 |
| Lautaro ValentiParma | 27 | 0.68 | 1.00 |
| Strahinja PavlovićAC Milan | 34 | 0.82 | 0.94 |
| These 5, combined | 0.67 | 1.52 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Mario Hermoso featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter19 Sep | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Torino14 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Atalanta5 Sep | 90 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Lecce31 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| Fiorentina22 Aug | 68 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| @ Hellas Verona24 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Lazio17 May | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Parma10 May | 53 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fiorentina4 May | 83 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| @ Bologna25 Apr | 61 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Mario Hermoso have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Mario Hermoso has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Mario Hermoso average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Mario Hermoso is averaging 0.23 shots on target and 0.90 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Mario Hermoso get booked?
Mario Hermoso is averaging 0.57 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Mario Hermoso commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Mario Hermoso commits 1.36 fouls per 90 and wins 0.79 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mario Hermoso?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Mario Hermoso plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.