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Serie A 26/27
DO

Donyell Malen

Striker 100% of 23 recent starts AS RomaSerie A 26/27

Also in: Premier LeagueBundesliga

Next match
AS Roma at Como›
Sun 11 OctReferee Michael Fabbri

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 23 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target2.36 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 102.6×
1.25bet365Edge
Total shots4.37 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 101.5×
1.05PPEdge
Fouls won1.06 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
1.57PPEdge
Fouls committed0.71 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
1.53PPEdge
Tackles0.47 per 90
30%
3 of 101.0×
11%
1 of 91.2×
Cards0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
6.00PPEdge
Goals1.18 per 90
60%
6 of 103.7×
form only
Assists0.24 per 90
20%
2 of 103.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Donyell Malen has hit 1+ shot on target in 100% (10 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Donyell Malen in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 62 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Donyell MalenAS Roma 184.26 0.73
Dušan VlahovićJuventus 194.52 0.83
Gift OrbanHellas Verona 283.76 1.02
Moise KeanComo 264.31 1.28
Gianluca ScamaccaAtalanta 243.89 1.77
Giacomo RaspadoriAtalanta 133.19 0.80
These 5, combined 3.98 1.18

Recent matches

The last 10 games Donyell Malen featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Inter19 Sep 90 1 3 0 1 0 0
@ Torino14 Sep 57 2 4 1 1 0 0
Atalanta5 Sep 63 1 3 0 1 0 0
@ Lecce31 Aug 67 3 5 1 0 1 1
Fiorentina22 Aug 68 3 5 1 2 0 0
@ Hellas Verona24 May 84 2 3 0 0 2 0
Lazio17 May 83 1 2 2 0 1 0
@ Parma10 May 90 4 5 0 2 0 0
Fiorentina4 May 83 2 4 0 2 0 0
@ Bologna25 Apr 77 1 3 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Andrea Colombo 4 games Donyell Malen booked in 1 4.80cards/game 1.15×vs league
Daniele Chiffi 3 games Donyell Malen booked in 1 3.81cards/game 0.91×vs league
Matteo Marcenaro 3 games Donyell Malen never booked 4.98cards/game 1.19×vs league
Simone Sozza 3 games Donyell Malen never booked 4.22cards/game 1.01×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Donyell Malen have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Donyell Malen has hit 1+ shot on target in 100% (10 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Donyell Malen average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Donyell Malen is averaging 2.36 shots on target and 4.37 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Donyell Malen get booked?

Donyell Malen is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Donyell Malen commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Donyell Malen commits 0.71 fouls per 90 and wins 1.06 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Donyell Malen?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Donyell Malen plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.