Gustavo Varela
Striker 100% of 4 recent starts MonzaSerie A 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 4 games
Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances
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Over the last 4 Serie A games, Gustavo Varela has hit 1+ shot on target in 100% (4 of 4), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 100%, 1+ foul won in 25%, and been booked in 25% (1 of 4). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 4 games Gustavo Varela featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo18 Sep | 90 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Lecce13 Sep | 75 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Udinese29 Aug | 90 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Inter22 Aug | 83 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Gustavo Varela have a shot on target?
Over the last 4 Serie A games, Gustavo Varela has hit 1+ shot on target in 100% (4 of 4). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Gustavo Varela average?
Across the last 4 Serie A games, Gustavo Varela is averaging 1.33 shots on target and 2.93 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Gustavo Varela get booked?
Gustavo Varela is averaging 0.27 cards per 90 over the last 4 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Gustavo Varela commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 4 games Gustavo Varela commits 1.33 fouls per 90 and wins 0.27 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Gustavo Varela?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Gustavo Varela plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.