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Serie A 26/27
RA

Rasmus Højlund

Striker 100% of 30 recent starts SSC NapoliSerie A 26/27

Also in: Premier League

Next match
SSC Napoli vs Frosinone›
Sat 10 OctReferee Ermanno Feliciani

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.80 per 90
50%
5 of 101.3×
1.33bet365Edge
Total shots1.95 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
1.04PPEdge
Fouls won1.03 per 90
50%
5 of 100.9×
1.17PPEdge
Fouls committed0.80 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
1.33PPEdge
Tackles0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
20%
2 of 102.2×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
10.00PPEdge
Goals0.46 per 90
40%
4 of 102.5×
form only
Assists0.23 per 90
20%
2 of 103.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Rasmus Højlund has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Rasmus Højlund in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 62 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Rasmus HøjlundSSC Napoli 331.96 1.21
Santiago CastroAS Roma 352.40 1.33
Andrea PinamontiLazio 362.52 0.49
Anastasios DouvikasComo 382.61 1.42
Giovanni SimeoneTorino 323.17 1.24
Patrick CutroneMonza 152.53 0.71
These 5, combined 2.65 1.07

Recent matches

The last 10 games Rasmus Højlund featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Fiorentina20 Sep 58 0 1 1 0 0 0
Bologna13 Sep 75 1 3 2 0 0 0
@ Inter5 Sep 72 2 2 0 0 0 0
Como30 Aug 80 1 2 0 0 0 0
@ Genoa22 Aug 78 0 0 0 2 0 0
Udinese24 May 90 2 2 0 2 0 0
@ Pisa17 May 90 1 2 1 1 0 0
Bologna11 May 90 0 0 2 3 0 0
@ Como2 May 90 0 1 1 0 0 0
Cremonese24 Apr 61 0 4 0 1 0 0
Officials on record
Marco Di Bello 6 games Rasmus Højlund never booked 3.63cards/game 0.87×vs league
Daniele Chiffi 5 games Rasmus Højlund booked in 1 3.81cards/game 0.91×vs league
Maurizio Mariani 5 games Rasmus Højlund booked in 1 4.13cards/game 0.99×vs league
Daniele Doveri 5 games Rasmus Højlund never booked 3.34cards/game 0.80×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Rasmus Højlund have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Rasmus Højlund has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Rasmus Højlund average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Rasmus Højlund is averaging 0.80 shots on target and 1.95 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Rasmus Højlund get booked?

Rasmus Højlund is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Rasmus Højlund commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Rasmus Højlund commits 0.80 fouls per 90 and wins 1.03 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Rasmus Højlund?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Rasmus Højlund plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.