What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 9 games
Compared with a Serie A centre-back, 25/26, 1,351 appearances
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Over the last 9 Serie A games, Rafa Marín has hit 1+ shot on target in 11% (1 of 9), 1+ total shot in 44%, 1+ foul committed in 56%, 1+ foul won in 56%, and been booked in 22% (2 of 9). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 9 games Rafa Marín featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Fiorentina20 Sep | 95 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Bologna13 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Inter5 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Como30 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Genoa22 Aug | 81 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Torino27 Apr | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Monza19 Apr | 90 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Empoli14 Apr | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Lazio15 Feb | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Rafa Marín have a shot on target?
Over the last 9 Serie A games, Rafa Marín has hit 1+ shot on target in 11% (1 of 9). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Rafa Marín average?
Across the last 9 Serie A games, Rafa Marín is averaging 0.15 shots on target and 0.77 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Rafa Marín get booked?
Rafa Marín is averaging 0.31 cards per 90 over the last 9 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Rafa Marín commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 9 games Rafa Marín commits 1.68 fouls per 90 and wins 0.92 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Rafa Marín?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Rafa Marín plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.