What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a La Liga centre-back, 25/26, 1,827 appearances
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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Rafa Marín has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Rafa Marín featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid24 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Rayo Vallecano17 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Mallorca10 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Celta Vigo26 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Athletic Club12 Apr | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Deportivo Alavés13 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Elche8 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Levante UD18 Feb | 79 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Osasuna31 Jan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Real Madrid24 Jan | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Rafa Marín have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 La Liga games, Rafa Marín has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Rafa Marín average?
Across the last 10 La Liga games, Rafa Marín is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.22 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Rafa Marín get booked?
Rafa Marín is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Rafa Marín commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Rafa Marín commits 0.88 fouls per 90 and wins 0.66 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Rafa Marín?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Rafa Marín plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.