Matteo Politano
Wing-back 43% of 30 recent starts SSC NapoliSerie A 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A wing-back, 25/26, 1,428 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Matteo Politano has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wing-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Matteo Politano in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 48 wing-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matteo PolitanoSSC Napoli | 34 | 1.99 | 0.77 |
| Denzel DumfriesInter | 20 | 1.56 | 1.36 |
| Davide ZappacostaAtalanta | 35 | 1.29 | 0.63 |
| Weston McKennieJuventus | 36 | 1.36 | 1.39 |
| Federico DimarcoInter | 35 | 2.16 | 1.36 |
| Leonardo SpinazzolaSSC Napoli | 32 | 0.99 | 0.42 |
| These 5, combined | 1.50 | 1.05 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Matteo Politano featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Fiorentina20 Sep | 73 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Bologna13 Sep | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Inter5 Sep | 62 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Como30 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Genoa22 Aug | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Udinese24 May | 80 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Bologna11 May | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Como2 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Cremonese24 Apr | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Lazio18 Apr | 72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Matteo Politano have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Matteo Politano has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Matteo Politano average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Matteo Politano is averaging 0.38 shots on target and 1.01 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Matteo Politano get booked?
Matteo Politano is averaging 0.38 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Matteo Politano commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Matteo Politano commits 0.75 fouls per 90 and wins 1.01 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Matteo Politano?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Matteo Politano plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.