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Serie A 26/27
DI

Diego Moreira

Forward AC MilanSerie A 26/27

Also in: Ligue 1

Next match
AC Milan at Sassuolo›
Sun 11 OctReferee Francesco Fourneau

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 3 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 3 games

Compared with a Serie A forward, 25/26, 3,106 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target2.13 per 90
67%
2 of 31.9×
2.20bet365Edge
Total shots3.54 per 90
67%
2 of 31.0×
1.29PPEdge
Fouls won0.71 per 90
33%
1 of 30.6×
1.40PPEdge
Fouls committed0.71 per 90
33%
1 of 30.7×
1.53bet365Edge
Tackles2.13 per 90
67%
2 of 31.9×
33%
1 of 32.9×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 3
5.50PPEdge
Goals2.13 per 90
67%
2 of 34.9×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 3
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 3 Serie A games, Diego Moreira has hit 1+ shot on target in 67% (2 of 3), 1+ total shot in 67%, 1+ foul committed in 33%, 1+ foul won in 33%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 3). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 3

Comparable wing-backs

Diego Moreira has no Serie A record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Ligue 1 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Serie A wing-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Diego MoreiraRC StrasbourgLigue 1 271.28 0.79
Alexis SaelemaekersAC Milan 351.38 0.84
WesleyAS Roma 300.92 1.32
Denzel DumfriesInter 201.56 1.36
Weston McKennieJuventus 361.36 1.39
Idrissa TouréMonza 321.14 0.91
These 5, combined 1.25 1.15

Recent matches

The last 3 games Diego Moreira featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Lecce20 Sep 21 1 1 0 0 1 0
@ Lazio12 Sep 45 2 4 0 1 0 0
@ Juventus6 Sep 61 0 0 1 0 2 0

Frequently asked

How often does Diego Moreira have a shot on target?

Over the last 3 Serie A games, Diego Moreira has hit 1+ shot on target in 67% (2 of 3). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Diego Moreira average?

Across the last 3 Serie A games, Diego Moreira is averaging 2.13 shots on target and 3.54 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Diego Moreira get booked?

Diego Moreira is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 3 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Diego Moreira commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 3 games Diego Moreira commits 0.71 fouls per 90 and wins 0.71 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Diego Moreira?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Diego Moreira plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.