What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Ligue 1 wing-back, 25/26, 587 appearances
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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Diego Moreira has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wing-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Diego Moreira in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 22 wing-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diego MoreiraRC Strasbourg | 27 | 1.28 | 0.79 |
| Aron DønnumToulouse | 28 | 1.49 | 1.52 |
| Matthieu UdolRC Lens | 34 | 1.41 | 0.90 |
| Lilian RaolisoaAngers | 32 | 0.77 | 1.23 |
| Ali AbdiNice | 23 | 1.19 | 1.71 |
| Panos KatserisLorient | 16 | 0.84 | 1.56 |
| These 5, combined | 1.22 | 1.29 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Diego Moreira featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Monaco17 May | 90 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Stade Brestois13 May | 72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Toulouse3 May | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Lorient26 Apr | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| RC Lens27 Feb | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Olympique Lyonnais22 Feb | 89 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Olympique de Marseille14 Feb | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Le Havre8 Feb | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| Paris Saint-Germain1 Feb | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Lille25 Jan | 76 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees
Frequently asked
How often does Diego Moreira have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Diego Moreira has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Diego Moreira average?
Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Diego Moreira is averaging 0.87 shots on target and 1.73 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Diego Moreira get booked?
Diego Moreira is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Diego Moreira commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Diego Moreira commits 0.87 fouls per 90 and wins 1.36 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Diego Moreira?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Diego Moreira plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.