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Ligue 1 26/27
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Nathaniel Adjei

Wide centre-back 68% of 28 recent starts LorientLigue 1 26/27

Next match
Lorient vs Paris FC›
Sat 10 OctReferee Jérôme Brisard

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 35 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 wide centre-back, 25/26, 333 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.21 per 90
10%
1 of 101.0×
9.50PPEdge
Total shots0.31 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
4.20PPEdge
Fouls won0.83 per 90
50%
5 of 101.1×
Fouls committed0.83 per 90
50%
5 of 100.9×
Tackles1.35 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.1×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
5.00bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Nathaniel Adjei has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 10%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wide centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Nathaniel Adjei in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 14 wide centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Nathaniel AdjeiLorient 150.43 0.86
Hans HateboerStade Rennais 160.82 1.16
Rasmus NicolaisenToulouse 320.53 0.98
Stephan ZagadouLe Havre 80.18 1.25
Benjamin PavardInter 270.51 1.01
Igor SilvaLorient 170.59 0.66
These 5, combined 0.54 0.97

Recent matches

The last 10 games Nathaniel Adjei featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Le Mans19 Sep 75 0 0 2 1 1 0
Toulouse12 Sep 90 0 0 1 2 1 0
@ RC Lens5 Sep 90 0 0 0 1 2 1
Troyes29 Aug 90 0 0 0 0 2 0
@ Nice22 Aug 90 0 0 0 2 2 0
Le Havre17 May 73 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Metz10 May 90 0 0 2 0 2 0
@ Paris Saint-Germain2 May 90 0 0 2 0 2 0
RC Strasbourg26 Apr 90 2 3 0 2 1 0
Olympique de Marseille18 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Romain Lissorgue 4 games Nathaniel Adjei booked in 1 4.05cards/game 1.05×vs league
Bastien Dechepy 4 games Nathaniel Adjei never booked 4.09cards/game 1.06×vs league
Jeremy Stinat 3 games Nathaniel Adjei never booked 3.89cards/game 1.01×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Nathaniel Adjei have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Nathaniel Adjei has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Nathaniel Adjei average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Nathaniel Adjei is averaging 0.21 shots on target and 0.31 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Nathaniel Adjei get booked?

Nathaniel Adjei is averaging 0.10 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Nathaniel Adjei commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Nathaniel Adjei commits 0.83 fouls per 90 and wins 0.83 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nathaniel Adjei?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nathaniel Adjei plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.