Goals — the players who score most often
Goals is the biggest player market in the Ligue 1 bet builder, and the one most builders are built around. SharpXI shows how often each player has actually scored — the raw record across every finished match, not a projection.
How these numbers are built
Two numbers, both counted rather than estimated. The per-90 rate is goals divided by minutes played, times ninety, across the season, with a 450-minute minimum so a single substitute appearance cannot top the table. The 1+ hit rate is the share of appearances in which the player scored at least once. Nothing here is shrunk, recency-weighted or adjusted for the opponent — those steps belong to the markets SharpXI models, and goals is not one of them.
Go deeper: How a bet builder is priced →
How to read them
The hit rate is the more useful of the two for a builder leg, because a leg either lands or it does not. A high per-90 rate built on thin minutes flatters a player whose hit rate is modest, which is why the table ranks by hit rate first. Read both columns together, and treat a small appearance count with care.
Ligue 1 — how this market behaves
Over 309 Ligue 1 matches in 25/26, a player recorded 1+ goals in 8.1% of the 9,514 appearances counted here. SharpXI publishes no model verdict on goals in any league — this page is the record only.
Hit rate only. SharpXI does not publish a model verdict on goals. There is no modelled probability and no price comparison on this market — the table below is a record of what has already happened. The markets SharpXI does model, and its record on each, are on the Ligue 1 markets page and the track record.
Ligue 1 leaders this season
In the 25/26 Ligue 1 season, Esteban Lepaul (Stade Rennais) recorded 1+ goals in 53% of appearances, ahead of Joaquin Panichelli (48%) and Folarin Balogun (43%). Hit rates are over completed matches, minimum 450 minutes played.
Per-90 rates across the league (25/26 season, minimum 450 minutes) — the players whose underlying numbers drive this market.
| Player | Team | Per 90 | 1+ hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Lepaul | Stade Rennais | 0.71 | 53% |
| Joaquin Panichelli | RC Strasbourg | 0.66 | 48% |
| Folarin Balogun | AS Monaco | 0.52 | 43% |
| Ahmadou Bamba Dieng | Lorient | 0.74 | 41% |
| Elye Wahi | Nice | 0.62 | 40% |
| Mason Greenwood | Olympique de Marseille | 0.58 | 38% |
| Corentin Tolisso | Olympique Lyonnais | 0.43 | 37% |
| Ansu Fati | AS Monaco | 0.91 | 36% |
| Odsonne Édouard | RC Lens | 0.59 | 34% |
| Bradley Barcola | Paris Saint-Germain | 0.57 | 34% |
| Pablo Pagis | Lorient | 0.51 | 32% |
| Amine Gouiri | Olympique de Marseille | 0.54 | 32% |
Frequently asked
Does SharpXI publish a value verdict on goals?
No. Goals and assists are shown as a hit-rate record only — there is no modelled probability and no price comparison on either market. The markets SharpXI does model, and its record on them, are listed on the Ligue 1 markets page and the track record.
What does 1+ goals mean?
It is a bet that the player scores at least once in the match. It is the only goals line SharpXI tracks, because scoring twice is rare enough that a season's hit rate at 2+ would carry very little weight.
SharpXI is a statistical tool, not a betting operator, and no model guarantees a result. The honest scoreboard is closing-line value over a large sample. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.