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Ligue 1 26/27
ES

Esteban Lepaul

Striker 100% of 30 recent starts Stade RennaisLigue 1 26/27

Next match
Stade Rennais vs Auxerre›
Sun 11 OctReferee Willy Delajod

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 striker, 25/26, 1,182 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target2.09 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 102.1×
1.17bet365Edge
Total shots4.28 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 101.4×
1.06bet365Edge
Fouls won0.33 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
Fouls committed0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
Tackles0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
10%
1 of 101.0×
Cards0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 102.2×
8.50bet365Edge
Goals0.88 per 90
70%
7 of 103.4×
form only
Assists0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 102.6×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Esteban Lepaul has hit 1+ shot on target in 90% (9 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Esteban Lepaul in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 46 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Esteban LepaulAngers 342.90 0.80
Pierre-Emerick AubameyangDeportivo de A Coruña 302.64 0.84
Odsonne ÉdouardRC Lens 292.97 1.04
Terem MoffiHamburger SV 102.94 0.37
Matías Fernández-PardoLille 292.57 0.57
Goduine KoyalipouAngers 132.93 0.53
These 5, combined 2.75 0.74

Recent matches

The last 10 games Esteban Lepaul featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Olympique Lyonnais19 Sep 29 2 3 0 0 0 0
Olympique de Marseille11 Sep 78 0 2 0 0 0 0
@ Angers6 Sep 89 3 6 1 1 0 0
Le Mans30 Aug 90 4 6 1 2 0 1
Paris Saint-Germain23 Aug 90 1 2 0 0 0 0
@ Olympique de Marseille17 May 90 1 5 0 0 0 0
Paris FC10 May 87 3 3 0 0 1 0
@ Olympique Lyonnais3 May 87 2 3 0 0 0 1
Nantes26 Apr 90 1 4 0 0 0 0
@ RC Strasbourg19 Apr 90 2 5 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Marc Bollengier 7 games Esteban Lepaul booked in 1 3.74cards/game 0.97×vs league
Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj 5 games Esteban Lepaul never booked 4.08cards/game 1.05×vs league
Clement Turpin 4 games Esteban Lepaul booked in 2 3.32cards/game 0.86×vs league
Mathieu Vernice 4 games Esteban Lepaul never booked 4.35cards/game 1.12×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Esteban Lepaul have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Esteban Lepaul has hit 1+ shot on target in 90% (9 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Esteban Lepaul average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Esteban Lepaul is averaging 2.09 shots on target and 4.28 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Esteban Lepaul get booked?

Esteban Lepaul is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Esteban Lepaul commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Esteban Lepaul commits 0.22 fouls per 90 and wins 0.33 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Esteban Lepaul?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Esteban Lepaul plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.