Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Ligue 1 26/27
AL

Ally Samatta

Striker 86% of 22 recent starts Le HavreLigue 1 26/27

Next match
Le Havre at Lille›
Sat 10 OctReferee Bastien Dechepy

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 32 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 striker, 25/26, 1,182 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.26 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.9×
2.06MGMEdge
Total shots2.85 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.3×
1.14bet365Edge
Fouls won1.16 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Fouls committed1.26 per 90
70%
7 of 101.3×
Tackles0.84 per 90
40%
4 of 101.3×
20%
2 of 102.0×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
5.00bet365Edge
Goals0.32 per 90
30%
3 of 101.5×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ally Samatta has hit 1+ shot on target in 80% (8 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Ally Samatta in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 46 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Ally SamattaLe Havre 272.44 2.03
Frank MagriToulouse 172.35 1.99
Sidiki CherifCoventry City 192.16 1.16
Mohamed BambaLorient 181.71 2.23
Sambou SoumanoLorient 312.72 1.55
Giorgi KvilitaiaMetz 102.15 1.97
These 5, combined 2.26 1.72

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ally Samatta featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Toulouse19 Sep 90 2 3 3 1 1 0
Angers12 Sep 89 3 7 0 2 3 0
Stade Brestois5 Sep 90 2 4 1 0 2 0
@ Olympique Lyonnais29 Aug 89 1 4 0 0 0 0
AS Monaco23 Aug 70 1 2 0 1 0 0
@ Lorient17 May 90 0 0 2 0 0 0
Olympique de Marseille10 May 90 1 3 1 3 0 0
@ Lille3 May 88 1 1 1 2 0 0
Metz26 Apr 90 1 1 2 2 2 0
@ Angers18 Apr 68 0 2 2 0 0 0
Officials on record
Marc Bollengier 5 games Ally Samatta never booked 3.74cards/game 0.97×vs league
Guillaume Paradis 3 games Ally Samatta booked in 1 3.79cards/game 0.98×vs league
Ruddy Buquet 3 games Ally Samatta never booked 3.85cards/game 0.99×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Ally Samatta have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ally Samatta has hit 1+ shot on target in 80% (8 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ally Samatta average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Ally Samatta is averaging 1.26 shots on target and 2.85 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ally Samatta get booked?

Ally Samatta is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ally Samatta commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Ally Samatta commits 1.26 fouls per 90 and wins 1.16 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ally Samatta?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ally Samatta plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.