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Ligue 1 referee · card profile
GU

Guillaume Paradis

Ligue 1 referee · 16 matches on record · 16.5% conversion

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games Guillaume Paradis has officiated, the average is 3.80 cards a match — in line with the league average of 3.89. That splits 3.6 yellow and 0.2 red a game — a red in 2 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 2.0 to 1.8 a game, in line with the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 50% of those games (5 of 10), from a 17.3% foul-to-booking rate. Penalties come less often than most: 1 awarded in 16 matches, 0.06 a game against a league average of 0.36. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.

Last games
max 16 on record

Match cards last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer gameModel
These are Guillaume Paradis's own match figures — the raw card and foul counts from the matches covered. They're not adjusted for how aggressive the two teams are or whether it's a derby. The model layers those in — the referee tendency, each player's booking rate and an opponent card-induction factor — to price a specific leg. That combined verdict is the locked price · edge.
last 10

Career profile

The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Guillaume Paradis turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Ligue 1 season on record.

MeasureParadis League avg
Cards / match4.06 3.89
vs league1.04× 1.00×
Foul-to-card conversion16.5% 15.8%
Fouls / match24.6 24.6
Penalties awarded / match0.06 0.36
Penalties awarded (total)1 in 16
Red cards shown2
Matches on record16 (16 in 25/26)

Recent matches

The last 8 Ligue 1 games Guillaume Paradis took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.

MatchScoreCardsYRPenFouls
Paris FC v Paris Saint-Germain17 May 2–1 3 3 0 0 17
Red Star FC v Rodez AF12 May 2–3 5 4 1 0 23
Lille v Le Havre3 May 1–1 5 5 0 0 24
Nantes v Stade Brestois19 Apr 1–1 5 4 1 0 30
Toulouse v Lorient21 Mar 1–0 5 5 0 0 19
AS Monaco v Angers28 Feb 2–0 3 3 0 0 19
Metz v Lille6 Feb 0–0 2 2 0 0 21
Stade Brestois v Toulouse25 Jan 0–2 5 5 0 0 32

Frequently asked

How many cards does Guillaume Paradis give per game?

Guillaume Paradis averages 4.06 cards a game across 16 Ligue 1 matches — 4% above the league average of 3.89. On a Guillaume Paradis appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 1.04.

Is Guillaume Paradis a strict referee?

Slightly, yes. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Guillaume Paradis runs at 16.5% against a league average of 15.8%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.

Does Guillaume Paradis's record change bet builder card prices?

It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.

How reliable is Guillaume Paradis's card rate?

It rests on 16 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.

Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, an opponent factor and de-vigging, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.