Junior Mwanga
In 25/26, Junior Mwanga has hit 1+ shot on target in 15% of 20 Ligue 1 appearances (3 of 20), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 65%, and been booked in 15% (3 of 20). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Junior Mwanga featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Lorient26 Apr | 76 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Stade Rennais19 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Le Havre8 Feb | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nice25 Jan | 90 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Paris FC18 Jan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Olympique de Marseille4 Jan | 63 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Angers12 Dec | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Olympique Lyonnais30 Nov | 43 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Lorient23 Nov | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Le Havre8 Nov | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Junior Mwanga have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Junior Mwanga has hit 1+ shot on target in 15% of 20 Ligue 1 appearances (3 of 20). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Junior Mwanga average?
Across 20 Ligue 1 appearances in 25/26, Junior Mwanga is averaging 0.16 shots on target and 0.55 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Junior Mwanga get booked?
Junior Mwanga is averaging 0.16 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Junior Mwanga commit or win more fouls?
This season Junior Mwanga commits 1.37 fouls per 90 and wins 0.88 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Junior Mwanga?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Junior Mwanga plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.