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Ligue 1 26/27
JU

Junior Mwanga

Central midfielder 73% of 30 recent starts Le HavreLigue 1 26/27

Next match
Le Havre at Lille›
Sat 10 OctReferee Bastien Dechepy

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 central midfielder, 25/26, 2,122 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
5.50PPEdge
Total shots0.26 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
2.20PPEdge
Fouls won0.52 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
Fouls committed1.31 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
Tackles1.96 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.1×
10%
1 of 101.0×
Cards0.26 per 90
20%
2 of 101.3×
3.75bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 101.7×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Junior Mwanga has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 10%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Junior Mwanga in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 82 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Junior MwangaLe Havre 200.55 1.37
Valentin RongierStade Rennais 310.72 1.57
Ayyoub BouaddiManchester City 300.62 1.42
Warren Zaïre-EmeryParis Saint-Germain 320.70 1.21
Kévin DanoisAuxerre 330.79 1.05
Jordan TezeAS Monaco 330.51 1.15
These 5, combined 0.67 1.28

Recent matches

The last 10 games Junior Mwanga featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Toulouse19 Sep 20 0 0 0 0 1 0
Stade Brestois5 Sep 47 0 0 1 1 0 1
@ Olympique Lyonnais29 Aug 90 0 0 1 0 1 0
AS Monaco23 Aug 90 0 0 0 0 4 0
@ Lorient26 Apr 76 0 0 2 1 2 0
Stade Rennais19 Apr 90 0 0 3 0 2 0
@ Le Havre8 Feb 33 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nice25 Jan 90 1 2 2 0 1 0
Paris FC18 Jan 90 0 0 0 1 1 0
@ Olympique de Marseille4 Jan 63 0 0 1 1 3 1
Officials on record
Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj 6 games Junior Mwanga never booked 4.08cards/game 1.05×vs league
Ruddy Buquet 5 games Junior Mwanga booked in 2 3.85cards/game 0.99×vs league
Jérôme Brisard 5 games Junior Mwanga never booked 4.06cards/game 1.05×vs league
Bastien Dechepy 4 games Junior Mwanga never booked 4.09cards/game 1.06×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Junior Mwanga have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Junior Mwanga has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Junior Mwanga average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Junior Mwanga is averaging 0.13 shots on target and 0.26 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Junior Mwanga get booked?

Junior Mwanga is averaging 0.26 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Junior Mwanga commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Junior Mwanga commits 1.31 fouls per 90 and wins 0.52 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Junior Mwanga?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Junior Mwanga plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.