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Ligue 1 26/27
MA

Marquinhos

Centre-back 97% of 30 recent starts Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1 26/27

Also in: Premier LeagueChampionship

Next match
Paris Saint-Germain at RC Strasbourg›
Sat 17 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 centre-back, 25/26, 1,295 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.40 per 90
30%
3 of 102.7×
2.50bet365Edge
Total shots0.60 per 90
50%
5 of 101.7×
1.33bet365Edge
Fouls won0.40 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
Fouls committed0.70 per 90
50%
5 of 100.9×
Tackles0.60 per 90
40%
4 of 100.6×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
Goals0.30 per 90
30%
3 of 1011.1×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Marquinhos has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Marquinhos in Ligue 1, 26/27 — drawn from 19 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
MarquinhosParis Saint-Germain 50.80 0.80
Felix BacherOlympique Lyonnais 61.01 1.18
Montassar TalbiLorient 60.67 0.33
Michel DiazTroyes 60.50 1.17
Charlie CresswellStade Rennais 60.83 1.17
Eric DierAS Monaco 60.67 0.83
These 5, combined 0.73 0.93

Recent matches

The last 10 games Marquinhos featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Olympique de Marseille20 Sep 90 2 2 0 0 0 0
@ Stade Brestois13 Sep 90 0 0 1 2 1 0
AS Monaco4 Sep 90 1 1 0 0 0 0
@ Lille28 Aug 90 1 1 1 0 0 0
@ Stade Rennais23 Aug 90 0 0 2 0 1 1
@ Paris FC17 May 90 0 1 0 0 0 0
Stade Brestois10 May 90 0 0 1 1 0 0
Nantes22 Apr 90 0 1 0 0 0 0
Olympique de Marseille8 Feb 90 0 0 0 0 3 0
@ RC Strasbourg1 Feb 90 0 0 2 1 1 0
Officials on record
Willy Delajod 13 games Marquinhos booked in 1 3.71cards/game 0.96×vs league
Jérôme Brisard 11 games Marquinhos booked in 2 4.09cards/game 1.06×vs league
Clement Turpin 9 games Marquinhos booked in 1 3.32cards/game 0.86×vs league
François Letexier 8 games Marquinhos never booked 4.22cards/game 1.09×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Marquinhos have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Marquinhos has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Marquinhos average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Marquinhos is averaging 0.40 shots on target and 0.60 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Marquinhos get booked?

Marquinhos is averaging 0.10 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Marquinhos commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Marquinhos commits 0.70 fouls per 90 and wins 0.40 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Marquinhos?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Marquinhos plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.