Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Ligue 1 26/27
CR

Cristian Cásseres Jr.

Central midfielder 100% of 30 recent starts ToulouseLigue 1 26/27

Next match
Toulouse at AS Monaco›
Sat 10 OctReferee Ruddy Buquet

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Ligue 1 central midfielder, 25/26, 2,122 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.20 per 90
20%
2 of 101.1×
4.80MGMEdge
Total shots1.00 per 90
60%
6 of 101.3×
2.05MGMEdge
Fouls won1.50 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.6×
Fouls committed1.90 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.6×
Tackles3.60 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 101.4×
20%
2 of 102.1×
Cards0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
4.00bet365Edge
Goals0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 101.9×
form only
Assists0.60 per 90
40%
4 of 106.8×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Cristian Cásseres Jr. has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 90%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Cristian Cásseres Jr. in Ligue 1, 25/26 — drawn from 82 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Cristian Cásseres Jr.Toulouse 300.94 1.40
Pierre Lees MelouParis FC 241.42 1.37
Ayyoub BouaddiManchester City 300.62 1.42
Valentin RongierStade Rennais 310.72 1.57
Quinten TimberOlympique de Marseille 150.81 1.05
Arthur Avom EbongLorient 310.89 0.98
These 5, combined 0.88 1.32

Recent matches

The last 10 games Cristian Cásseres Jr. featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Le Havre19 Sep 90 0 0 2 1 2 0
@ Lorient12 Sep 90 0 1 3 0 6 0
Lille3 Sep 90 1 3 2 3 6 0
@ Stade Brestois29 Aug 90 0 0 3 4 5 1
Olympique Lyonnais22 Aug 90 0 1 0 2 3 0
Olympique Lyonnais10 May 90 0 0 1 1 2 0
@ RC Strasbourg3 May 90 0 1 1 1 4 0
AS Monaco25 Apr 90 0 3 3 0 1 0
@ RC Lens17 Apr 90 1 1 3 1 5 0
Lille12 Apr 90 0 0 1 2 2 0
Officials on record
Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj 7 games Cristian Cásseres Jr. booked in 1 4.08cards/game 1.05×vs league
Jeremy Stinat 7 games Cristian Cásseres Jr. never booked 3.89cards/game 1.01×vs league
Clement Turpin 6 games Cristian Cásseres Jr. never booked 3.32cards/game 0.86×vs league
Mathieu Vernice 6 games Cristian Cásseres Jr. never booked 4.35cards/game 1.12×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees

Frequently asked

How often does Cristian Cásseres Jr. have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Cristian Cásseres Jr. has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Cristian Cásseres Jr. average?

Across the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Cristian Cásseres Jr. is averaging 0.20 shots on target and 1.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Cristian Cásseres Jr. get booked?

Cristian Cásseres Jr. is averaging 0.10 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Cristian Cásseres Jr. commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Cristian Cásseres Jr. commits 1.90 fouls per 90 and wins 1.50 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Cristian Cásseres Jr.?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Cristian Cásseres Jr. plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.