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Ligue 1 · 25/26
IL

Ilya Zabarnyi

Defender · Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1 25/26

In 25/26, Ilya Zabarnyi has hit 1+ shot on target in 11% of 28 Ligue 1 appearances (3 of 28), 1+ total shot in 14%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 21%, and been booked in 21% (6 of 28). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 28 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
20%2 of 10
0.20
20%2 of 10
0.20
30%3 of 10
0.50
40%4 of 10
0.50
30%3 of 10
0.30
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Paris Saint-Germain vs Stade Rennais
Sun 23 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ilya Zabarnyi featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Paris FC17 May 90 0 0 0 0 0
@ RC Lens13 May 90 0 0 1 3 1
Stade Brestois10 May 90 0 0 0 1 0
@ Angers25 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 0
Nantes22 Apr 90 0 0 1 0 1
Olympique Lyonnais19 Apr 90 0 0 2 0 1
Toulouse3 Apr 90 1 1 0 0 0
@ Nice21 Mar 90 1 1 0 1 0
AS Monaco6 Mar 90 0 0 1 0 0
@ Le Havre28 Feb 90 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Benoît Bastien 6 games · Ilya Zabarnyi booked in 2 3.99cards/game 1.03×vs league
Jérôme Brisard 4 games · Ilya Zabarnyi booked in 1 4.09cards/game 1.05×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Ilya Zabarnyi have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Ilya Zabarnyi has hit 1+ shot on target in 11% of 28 Ligue 1 appearances (3 of 28). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Ilya Zabarnyi average?

Across 28 Ligue 1 appearances in 25/26, Ilya Zabarnyi is averaging 0.11 shots on target and 0.15 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ilya Zabarnyi get booked?

Ilya Zabarnyi is averaging 0.23 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ilya Zabarnyi commit or win more fouls?

This season Ilya Zabarnyi commits 0.68 fouls per 90 and wins 0.30 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ilya Zabarnyi?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Ilya Zabarnyi plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.