Ilya Zabarnyi
Also in: Ligue 1
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Ilya Zabarnyi has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
Ilya Zabarnyi has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Ligue 1 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya ZabarnyiParis Saint-GermainLigue 1 | 28 | 0.15 | 0.68 |
| Axel DisasiCrystal Palace | 14 | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| Pau TorresAston Villa | 21 | 0.48 | 0.38 |
| Nikola MilenkovićNottingham Forest | 38 | 0.43 | 0.56 |
| Rúben DiasManchester City | 26 | 0.42 | 0.63 |
| Maxime EstèveRB Leipzig | 34 | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| These 5, combined | 0.40 | 0.48 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Ilya Zabarnyi featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester25 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Man City20 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Aston Villa10 May | 88 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| @ Arsenal3 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Man Utd27 Apr | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Crystal Palace19 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Fulham14 Apr | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ West Ham5 Apr | 77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Ipswich2 Apr | 87 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Brentford15 Mar | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Ilya Zabarnyi have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Ilya Zabarnyi has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Ilya Zabarnyi average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Ilya Zabarnyi is averaging 0.11 shots on target and 0.54 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Ilya Zabarnyi get booked?
Ilya Zabarnyi is averaging 0.11 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Ilya Zabarnyi commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Ilya Zabarnyi commits 0.65 fouls per 90 and wins 0.22 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ilya Zabarnyi?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ilya Zabarnyi plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.