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Premier League 26/27
MA

Marcus Tavernier

Winger 67% of 30 recent starts BournemouthPremier League 26/27

Next match
Bournemouth at Chelsea›
Sat 10 OctReferee Samuel Barrott

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League winger, 25/26, 1,770 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.26 per 90
60%
6 of 101.8×
1.71MGMEdge
Total shots2.20 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.3×
1.14bet365Edge
Fouls won1.15 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
1.33bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.52 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
1.36bet365Edge
Tackles1.67 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.9×
30%
3 of 102.7×
Cards0.31 per 90
30%
3 of 103.5×
5.00PPEdge
Goals0.42 per 90
40%
4 of 103.6×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Marcus Tavernier has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Marcus Tavernier in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 60 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Marcus TavernierBournemouth 342.30 0.99
Jaidon AnthonyBrentford 371.80 0.92
Dango OuattaraBrentford 322.21 1.07
Amad DialloManchester United 322.03 0.88
Cody GakpoLiverpool FC 362.84 1.37
RayanBournemouth 152.25 0.72
These 5, combined 2.23 1.03

Recent matches

The last 10 games Marcus Tavernier featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Liverpool20 Sep 75 0 0 0 0 3 0
Brentford12 Sep 83 3 4 2 1 1 1
@ Newcastle5 Sep 89 4 5 0 3 1 0
Everton29 Aug 90 0 2 0 1 4 1
@ Man City23 Aug 90 1 2 1 3 2 0
@ Nottingham Forest24 May 90 1 3 0 0 1 0
Man City19 May 90 0 0 1 1 2 0
@ Fulham9 May 78 2 3 0 1 1 1
Crystal Palace3 May 86 1 1 1 1 0 0
Leeds22 Apr 89 0 1 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Michael Oliver 10 games Marcus Tavernier booked in 1 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Craig Pawson 9 games Marcus Tavernier booked in 3 3.94cards/game 0.97×vs league
Peter Bankes 8 games Marcus Tavernier booked in 2 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league
Michael Salisbury 8 games Marcus Tavernier never booked 4.08cards/game 1.00×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Marcus Tavernier have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Marcus Tavernier has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Marcus Tavernier average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Marcus Tavernier is averaging 1.26 shots on target and 2.20 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Marcus Tavernier get booked?

Marcus Tavernier is averaging 0.31 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Marcus Tavernier commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Marcus Tavernier commits 0.52 fouls per 90 and wins 1.15 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Marcus Tavernier?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Marcus Tavernier plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.