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Premier League 26/27
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Adam Smith

Full-back 100% of 30 recent starts BournemouthPremier League 26/27

Next match
Bournemouth at Chelsea›
Sat 10 OctReferee Samuel Barrott

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League full-back, 25/26, 1,736 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
10.00PPEdge
Total shots0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
4.00PPEdge
Fouls won1.50 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
1.83bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.62 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.7×
1.40bet365Edge
Tackles1.25 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.1×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.50 per 90
40%
4 of 102.5×
3.75PPEdge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 101.8×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Adam Smith has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 10%, 1+ foul committed in 90%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 40% (4 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Adam Smith in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 61 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Adam SmithBournemouth 220.00 1.56
Kieran TrippierWolverhampton 210.11 1.24
Rico HenryBrentford 250.34 1.01
Destiny UdogieTottenham Hotspur 200.27 1.14
Aaron Wan-BissakaAston Villa 250.00 0.99
Myles Lewis-SkellyArsenal 200.25 1.25
These 5, combined 0.17 1.11

Recent matches

The last 10 games Adam Smith featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Liverpool20 Sep 75 0 0 1 2 0 0
Brentford12 Sep 90 0 0 2 1 1 1
@ Newcastle5 Sep 90 0 1 2 2 1 1
Everton29 Aug 90 0 0 1 0 2 1
@ Man City23 Aug 90 0 0 1 3 1 0
@ Nottingham Forest24 May 89 0 0 1 2 1 0
Man City19 May 89 0 0 3 1 1 0
@ Fulham9 May 90 0 0 1 1 1 0
@ Arsenal11 Apr 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Man Utd20 Mar 17 0 0 1 0 2 1
Officials on record
Michael Oliver 9 games Adam Smith never booked 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Stuart Attwell 8 games Adam Smith booked in 5 4.28cards/game 1.05×vs league
Michael Salisbury 8 games Adam Smith booked in 2 4.08cards/game 1.00×vs league
Chris Kavanagh 7 games Adam Smith booked in 3 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Adam Smith have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Adam Smith has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Adam Smith average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Adam Smith is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.12 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Adam Smith get booked?

Adam Smith is averaging 0.50 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Adam Smith commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Adam Smith commits 1.62 fouls per 90 and wins 1.50 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Adam Smith?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Adam Smith plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.