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SharpXI©
Premier League 26/27
RA

Rayan

Winger 100% of 18 recent starts BournemouthPremier League 26/27

Next match
Bournemouth at Chelsea›
Sat 10 OctReferee Samuel Barrott

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 20 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League winger, 25/26, 1,770 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.92 per 90
60%
6 of 101.8×
1.80PPEdge
Total shots2.76 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.4×
1.12PPEdge
Fouls won0.69 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
1.36PPEdge
Fouls committed0.57 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
1.50bet365Edge
Tackles0.92 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
10%
1 of 100.9×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
6.00PPEdge
Goals0.34 per 90
30%
3 of 102.7×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Rayan has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Rayan in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 60 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
RayanBournemouth 152.25 0.72
Marcus TavernierBournemouth 342.30 0.99
Mohamed SalahLiverpool FC 272.85 0.42
Pedro NetoChelsea 341.57 0.54
Jaidon AnthonyBrentford 371.80 0.92
Jacob MurphyNewcastle United 332.32 0.50
These 5, combined 2.13 0.70

Recent matches

The last 10 games Rayan featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Liverpool20 Sep 88 0 0 0 2 2 0
Brentford12 Sep 82 1 5 0 3 1 0
@ Newcastle5 Sep 89 0 1 1 0 1 0
Everton29 Aug 90 2 5 0 0 1 0
@ Man City23 Aug 89 1 1 0 0 0 0
@ Nottingham Forest24 May 73 0 1 0 0 0 0
Man City19 May 84 0 2 2 1 1 0
@ Fulham9 May 79 1 2 1 0 0 0
Crystal Palace3 May 86 1 5 0 0 2 0
Leeds22 Apr 23 2 2 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Jarred Gillett 3 games Rayan never booked 3.85cards/game 0.94×vs league
Michael Oliver 3 games Rayan never booked 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Rayan have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Rayan has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Rayan average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Rayan is averaging 0.92 shots on target and 2.76 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Rayan get booked?

Rayan is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Rayan commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Rayan commits 0.57 fouls per 90 and wins 0.69 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Rayan?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Rayan plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.