What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League full-back, 25/26, 1,736 appearances
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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Adrien Truffert has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Adrien Truffert in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 61 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien TruffertBournemouth | 38 | 0.43 | 1.04 |
| Nordi MukieleSunderland | 32 | 0.84 | 1.13 |
| Piero HincapiéArsenal | 25 | 0.15 | 0.90 |
| Jurriën TimberArsenal | 30 | 0.92 | 1.39 |
| Michael KayodeBrentford | 37 | 0.25 | 0.72 |
| Ola AinaNottingham Forest | 18 | 0.68 | 0.74 |
| These 5, combined | 0.57 | 0.98 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Adrien Truffert featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool20 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Brentford12 Sep | 90 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| @ Newcastle5 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Everton29 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Man City23 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Nottingham Forest24 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| Man City19 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| @ Fulham9 May | 90 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Crystal Palace3 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Leeds22 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Adrien Truffert have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Adrien Truffert has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Adrien Truffert average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Adrien Truffert is averaging 0.50 shots on target and 0.70 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Adrien Truffert get booked?
Adrien Truffert is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Adrien Truffert commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Adrien Truffert commits 1.40 fouls per 90 and wins 1.00 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Adrien Truffert?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Adrien Truffert plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.