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Premier League 26/27
DI

Diogo Dalot

Full-back 67% of 30 recent starts Man UtdPremier League 26/27

Next match
Man Utd vs Tottenham Hotspur›
Sat 10 OctReferee Stuart Attwell

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League full-back, 25/26, 1,736 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
4.00PPEdge
Total shots1.36 per 90
70%
7 of 102.0×
1.67MGMEdge
Fouls won0.49 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
1.91PPEdge
Fouls committed1.11 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
1.50bet365Edge
Tackles2.35 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.3×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
4.50bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Diogo Dalot has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Diogo Dalot in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 61 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Diogo DalotManchester United 340.83 0.86
Lucas DigneParis Saint-Germain 310.68 0.68
Timothy CastagneFulham 300.67 0.87
El Hadji Malick DioufBrentford 320.60 0.93
Malo GustoChelsea 340.48 0.79
Jake O'BrienEverton 370.37 0.66
These 5, combined 0.54 0.78

Recent matches

The last 10 games Diogo Dalot featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Fulham20 Sep 90 0 2 0 1 1 0
Man City13 Sep 90 0 1 3 1 1 0
@ Everton6 Sep 84 0 1 3 0 2 1
Ipswich30 Aug 74 1 4 0 0 0 0
@ Hull City22 Aug 10 0 0 0 0 2 0
Nottingham Forest17 May 90 0 1 1 0 4 0
Liverpool3 May 90 0 1 0 0 1 0
Brentford27 Apr 90 0 0 2 0 3 0
@ Chelsea18 Apr 90 0 0 0 2 3 0
Leeds13 Apr 20 0 1 0 0 2 0
Officials on record
Michael Oliver 12 games Diogo Dalot booked in 5 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
John Brooks 10 games Diogo Dalot booked in 3 4.59cards/game 1.12×vs league
Craig Pawson 9 games Diogo Dalot booked in 1 3.94cards/game 0.97×vs league
Robert Jones 9 games Diogo Dalot booked in 1 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Diogo Dalot have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Diogo Dalot has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Diogo Dalot average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Diogo Dalot is averaging 0.12 shots on target and 1.36 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Diogo Dalot get booked?

Diogo Dalot is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Diogo Dalot commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Diogo Dalot commits 1.11 fouls per 90 and wins 0.49 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Diogo Dalot?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Diogo Dalot plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.